The Need for and Use of Socio-Economic Scenarios for Climate Change Analysis

By Elmar Kriegler, Brian C. O'Neill, StÃ©phane Hallegatte, T. Kram, Robert J. Lempert, R. Moss, T. Wilbanks. 2012

530 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Economics and Econometrics, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ee9e501493ff8ee267f44ae34946e2204edc8e3e

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Citations in the corpus

Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks (2013, methodology): “All models were run with GDP and population values from Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2 (SSP2, (22, 23)).”
Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios (2019, background): “The resultant broad set of potential outcomes can then provide insights into the possibilities, requirements, ranges, and sensitivities of bioenergy supply and demand (Clarke et al., 2014; Kriegler et al., 2012; Riahi et al., 2017).”
Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways (2016, background): “Each projection is shown with a one-standard deviation prediction interval—i.e. the band within which 68% of the simulated proportions lie, assuming logistic-normal distribution [36].”
Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century (2017, unknown): “To this end, a set of ﬁ ve Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) has been developed with different levels of socio-economic challenges to the two generic policy responses to climate change, mitigation and adaption (SSP1 to SSP5; Kriegler et al., 2012; O ’ Neill et al., 2014; O ’ Neill et al., 2017).”
Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree (2014, background): “2 See van Vuuren et al. (2012) and Kriegler et al. (2012) for a discussion of SSPs.”
Why do global long‐term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison (2014, methodology): “…GDP growth, are based on the Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) 2, corresponding to “middle of the road” 210 projections largely following past trends and SSP3 characterized as “fragmentation” (see O’Neill et al., 2012, van Vuuren et al., 2012, and Kriegler et al., 2012, for a discussion of SSPs.”
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions (2014, methodology): “Concretely, SPAs should describe three attributes of climate policies (Kriegler et al. 2012).”
Land‐use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro‐economic model comparison (2014, background): “The socio-economic scenarios consist of population and income projections from the shared socio-economic pathways (SSP) scenarios – SSP2 and SSP3 - developed for the IPCC 5th 260 Assessment Report (Kriegler et al., 2012).”
Scenarios for vulnerability: opportunities and constraints in the context of climate change and disaster risk (2015, unknown): “…the development of a new framework for creating and using scenarios to improve the assessment of climate change, its impacts, and response options (Moss et al. 2010), called the Shared Socio-economic development Pathways (SSPs) (Kriegler et al. 2012; van Vuuren et al. 2012b; O’Neill et al. 2013).”
A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture (2014, unknown): “Elements of an integrated framework were elaborated earlier by Van Vuuren et al. (2012b) and Kriegler et al. (2012).”
Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: an AgMIP economic model intercomparison (2014, background): “Population and GDP growth in both scenarios are in line with the shared socioeconomic pathway SSP2 (Kriegler et al., 2012).”
A global water scarcity assessment under Shared Socio-economic Pathways – Part 1: Water use (2012, methodology): “The SSPs are new socio-economic scenarios for use in global climate change studies (Kriegler et al., 2012; O’Neill et al., 2012).”
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview (2017, methodology): “Analo-gies between the SRES scenarios and the SSPs were identi ﬁ ed already during the SSP development phase (Kriegler et al., 2012; O ’ Neill et al., 2014), and a systematic attempt to map the SSPs to SRES and other major scenarios was conducted by van Vuuren and Carter (2014).”
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change (2014, methodology): “There was also an identified role for the Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security programme to provide science and for convening actors in a number of the proposed actions.”