Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree

By G. Nelson, D. Mensbrugghe, Helal Ahammad, É. Blanc, Katherine Calvin, T. Hasegawa, Petr Havlík, E. Heyhoe, Page Kyle, H. Lotze-Campen and 12 more. 2014

288 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Economics and Econometrics, Soil Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/6cfd09230d5bc5c2ba119f675af3dbd8682f8cf0

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

In Economics and Econometrics

In Soil Science

Citations in the corpus

The International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model Description for Version 3 (2015, background): “• IFPRI-IWMI book World Water and Food to 2025: Dealing with Scarcity (Rosegrant, Cai, and Cline 2002) • Food security and climate change (Nelson et al. 2010) • Global assessments such as the International Assessment of Agricultural Science and Technology for Development (2009), World Development Re”
Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of plausible socioeconomic and emissions scenarios (2015, methodology): “This contributes to mean yield impacts that are somewhat smaller than those in previous work that excluded sugar (Nelson et al 2014a).”
Impact of Drought, Heat, and Their Combination on Chlorophyll Fluorescence and Yield of Wild Barley (Hordeum spontaneum) (2015, background): “During the forthcoming decades, global agriculture will have to face dramatic climatic changes [1, 2].”
Molecular responses to drought stress in plants (2017, unknown): “Among the abiotic factors that have shaped and continue shaping plant evolution, water availability is the most important (Nelson et al. 2014).”
Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change (2014, background): “…and Bruinsma 2012), integrated assessment models which heavily incorporate biophysical processes (Fischer et al. 2005; Tubiello et al. 2007; Schneider et al. 2011) and partial as well as general equilibrium economic models (Msangi et al. 2010; Nelson et al. 2010, 2014; Golub et al. 2012).”
Comparing impacts of climate change and mitigation on global agriculture by 2050 (2018, background): “…Improvement Project (AgMIP) (Rosenzweig et al 2013) has examined (and narrowed) the differences between models in estimated impacts on agriculture of a certain level of climate change through systematic model inter-comparison (Nelson et al 2013, 2014, von Lampe et al 2014, Lotze-Campen et al 2014).”