Paul Goodwin

Management Science and Operations Research · 1999–2020

A researcher in the Science corpus: 12 papers; trusts 3 researchers and is trusted by 30 researchers here, as inferred from the citation graph.

Subfields

• Management Science and Operations Research — 229 citations into it; #2,072 of 11,946 by trust here, #1,128 by citations
• Statistics and Probability — 104 citations into it; #2,929 of 12,932 by trust here, #2,477 by citations
• Electrical and Electronic Engineering — 57 citations into it
• General Decision Sciences — 31 citations into it; #1,132 of 1,995 by trust here, #416 by citations
• Strategy and Management — 14 citations into it

Whom Paul Goodwin trusts overall

Their strongest outbound trust, strongest first, inferred from their citations.

1. Albert C. BemmaorJanghyuk Lee
2. John C. Gower
3. Spyros Makridakis
4. C. Drummond
5. Ilan Yaniv
6. Robert Fildes
7. Gerd Gigerenzer
8. P. Asquith
9. Heiner Evanschitzky
10. C. Chatfield

Who trusts Paul Goodwin overall

1. Konstantinos Nikolopoulos
2. James W. Taylor
3. M. Hibon
4. Evangelos Spiliotis
5. Vassilios Assimakopoulos
6. Alexei Botchkarev
7. Robert Fildes
8. Sven F. Crone
9. Rob J Hyndman
10. Fotios Petropoulos

Papers from Paul Goodwin's perspective

Ordered by how strongly the researchers Paul Goodwin trusts endorse each paper. Same corpus, a different order for every researcher.

1. Bagging Predictors
2. Estimating the Dimension of a Model
3. Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography
4. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation
5. Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set
6. Out-of-sample tests of forecasting accuracy: an analysis and review
7. Exponential smoothing with a damped multiplicative trend
8. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control
9. EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING: THE STATE OF THE ART, PART II
10. Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts

Their papers

• Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning (2009) — 456 citations
• The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments (2009) — 300 citations
• The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products (2013) — 41 citations
• On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE (1999)
• Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years (2006) — 532 citations
• Weight approximations in multi-attribute decision models (2002) — 227 citations
• Reproducibility in forecasting research (2015) — 44 citations
• The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts (2009) — 130 citations
• Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method (2009) — 248 citations
• Forecasting: theory and practice (2020) — 551 citations
• Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence (2015) — 224 citations
• Lancaster University Management School Working Paper 2007 / 005 Against your better judgment ? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting (2007)