Egocentrism and focalism in unrealistic optimism (and pessimism)

By Justin Kruger, Jeremy Burrus. 2004

225 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Applied Psychology, Experimental and Cognitive Psychology, Sociology and Political Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/f94df2505b0a4eaf26ff332d1cc330c4ea0af367

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Citations in the corpus

Overconfidence and Underconfidence: When and Why People Underestimate (and Overestimate) the Competition (2007, background): “For example, people believe that they are below average in unicycle riding, computer programming, and their chances of living past 100 (Kruger, 1999; Kruger & Burrus, 2004).”
Effects of Task Difficulty on Use of Advice (2007, background): “And the tendency to egocentrically believe that one is more likely than others to experience positive events only holds for common events; for rare positive events, people believe that they are less likely than others to experience them (Chambers, Windschitl, & Suls, 2003; Kruger & Burrus, 2004 ).”
The illusion of courage in social predictions: Underestimating the impact of fear of embarrassment on other people ! (2005, unknown): “…information, exacerbating the tendency to underweight non-focal information when making predictions (Chambers, Windschitl, & Suls, 2003; Kruger & Burrus, 2003; Moore & Kim, 2003; Savitsky, Epley, & Gilovich, 2001; Schkade & Kahneman , 1998; Wilson, Wheatley, Meyers, Gilbert, & Axsom,…”
A visual analytics approach to understanding cycling behaviour (2012, unknown): “The extended system, which we call CILP++, has been implemented in C++ and is available to download from Sourceforge at https://sourceforge.net/projects/cilppp/ (the experiments reported in this paper can be reproduced by downloading the datasets and list of parameters from…”
Self-enhancement and self-protection: What they are and what they do (2009, background): “…highly objective and verifiable, very difficult, or very rare (Alicke & Govorun, 2005; Burson, Larrick, & Klayman, 2006; Dauenheimer et al., 2002; Kruger & Burrus, 2004), when people are induced to think carefully about their own shortcomings or the obstacles that may obviate success (Sedikides,…”
Not so Above Average After All: When People Believe They are Worse than Average and its Implications for Theories of Bias in Social Comparison (2007, unknown): “They believe that they are less likely than others to experience rare events such as living past age 100 or graduating in the top 1% of the class (Kruger & Burrus, 2004).”
What Does It Mean to be Biased: Motivated Reasoning and Rationality (2014, background): “…it seems that a more appropriate explanation is that people focus overly on the self when making comparative judgments (e.g., Chambers et al., 2003; Kruger & Burrus, 2004; see Harris & Hahn, 2009 for an alternative account which can likewise predict this complete pattern of data)—a process that…”
The Rational Side of Egocentrism in Social Comparisons (2008, methodology): “Prior work has found that when people compare themselves with others they egocentrically focus on their own strengths and contributions more than the strengths and contributions of the comparison group (Burson et al., 2006; Chambers et al., 2003; Klar & Giladi, 1997; Kruger, 1999; Kruger & Burrus, ”
The trouble with overconfidence. (2008, unknown): “When event commonness and valence are unconfounded, results reveal that while both influence judgments of comparative likelihood, the effect of event commonness is roughly four times the size of valence (Kruger & Burrus, 2004).”
Flawed Self-Assessment (2004, unknown): “However, when people consider rare desirable events and common undesirable events, the tendency reverses itself, and people express undue levels of pessimism (see also Kruger & Burrus, 2004).”