Country risk measures: how risky are they?

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Which country matters? Institutional development and foreign affiliate performance (2008, background): “In addition, foreign investors may be from home countries that are socially and culturally distinct from the host country (Cosset and Roy, 1991; Erb, Harvey, and Viskanta, 1996; Ghemawat, 2001; Habib and Zurawicki, 2002; Hymer, 1960/1976; Oetzel, Bettis, and Zenner, 2001).”
Private Provision of Infrastructure in Emerging Markets: Do Institutions Matter? (2006, background): “Attempts at forecasting political and economic risk events have fallen short, thereby increasing the need for effective management of these ventures (Oetzel et al., 2001).”
Climatic natural disasters, political risk, and international trade (2010, background): “Comparing several political risk indices, Oetzel et al. (2001) concluded that the PRS index works the best in predicting risk compared to other political risk data.”