The Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making

By J. Armstrong, S. Plous. 1994

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In Game & Decision Theory

Citations in the corpus

Anticipating Safety Issues in E2E Conversational AI: Framework and Tooling (2021, background): “More generally, cognitive heuristics and biases affect how most humans assess beneﬁts, costs, and risks (Kahneman, 2011; Plous, 1993; Tversky & Kahneman, 1989; Kahneman et al., 1991).”
SampleClean: Fast and Reliable Analytics on Dirty Data (2015, background): “Conﬁrmation Bias and Sample Re-use: Conﬁrmation bias is deﬁned as a “tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that conﬁrms one’s preconceptions”[39].”
What I See, What I Do (2015, background): “Studying hubris or overconfidence is important for strategic management, as “no problem in judgment and decision making is more prevalent and more potentially catastrophic than overconfidence” (Plous, 1993: 217).”
Bodies of Knowledge for Research in Behavioral Operations (2009, background): “The list of heuristics and biases is large, and indeed many books have been written describing them (see Baron 1998 or Plous 1993 for introductory texts).”
Institutionalizing ethics in AI through broader impact requirements (2021, background): “Several other biases, such as the framing effect [53], ambiguity effect [54], or confirmation bias [55], may similarly affect the quality and the comprehensiveness of impact statements.”
Changes in financial risk tolerance, 1983–2001 (2004, methodology): “In addition, recent stock market and economic changes may influence the willingness to take investment risks (Plous, 1993; Miller & Campbell, 1959).”
The Importance of Cognitive Errors in Diagnosis and Strategies to Minimize Them (2003, unknown): “…appreciated, understood, and corrected, resulting in better calibration of decision makers.26 *Based on information from: Slovic and Fischhoff (1977),19 Fischhoff (1982),15 Arkes (1986),16 Plous (1993),23 Croskerry (2002),9 and Croskerry (2003).10 A C A D E M I C M E D I C I N E , V O L .”
Student Difficulties in Socio‐scientific Argumentation and Decision‐making Research Findings: Crossing the borders of two research lines (2010, background): “…heuristics, (2) taking their objectives and values into account, and (3) providing them a decision-making framework in which they can assess the evidence for each alternative followed by tradeoff assessment (Arvai, Campbell, Baird, & Rivers, 2004; McDaniels, Gregory, & Fields, 1999; Plous, 1993).”
Self-confidence and metacognitive processes (2007, background): “Early work on decision making examined this type of forecasting in relation to the overconfidence bias (see Plous, 1993, for review of this literature).”
Facilitated modelling in operational research (2010, background): “facilitation by the group has shown that quantitative judgmental data can be difficult to elicit (Budescu and Wallsten, 1985) and influenced by cognitive biases (Kahneman et al., 1982; Plous, 1993; Poyhonen et al., 2001).”
Elaboration and numerical anchoring: Implications of attitude theories for consumer judgment and decision making (2010, background): “According to Quattrone et al. (1984; discussed in Plous, 1993), this “anchoring-andadjustment” process is explained by people having a range of plausible answers for any given question.”
Opportunity Evaluation as Rule‐Based Decision Making (2014, methodology): “The worst-case scenario is consistent with what is often referred to as ‘counterfactual reasoning’ (Dunning and Parpal, 1989; Plous, 1993) because it involves considerations of imaginary events.”
The role of visual complexity and prototypicality regarding first impression of websites: Working towards understanding aesthetic judgments (2012, background): “First impressions do often influence mid-and longterm human behavior (e.g. Plous, 1993; Rabin and Schrag, 1999) – therefore it is important to understand how they are formed and what factors they depend on.”
Metacognitive Experiences and the Intricacies of Setting People Straight: Implications for Debiasing and Public Information Campaigns (2007, background): “Most theories of judgment and decision making (for reviews see Koehler & Harvey, 2004; Lopes, 1994; Plous, 1993; Wyer & Srull, 1989) focus on the role of declarative information, that is on what people think about, and on the inference rules they apply to accessible thought content.”
The Role of Self-Esteem and Anxiety in Decision Making for Self versus Others in Relationships (2005, background): “Although these types of expectation models are limited in multiple ways (see Larrick, 1993; Plous, 1993), they nonetheless can serve as useful approximations of how people make decisions (see, e.g., Yates, 1990).”
A software engineering approach to ontology building (2009, unknown): “are ‘‘human judgment’’ [13] predicates that are evaluated”
Managing the Unknowable (2015, background): “Work on decision making when risks are unknowable has primarily been conducted in behavioral finance, and scholars focus on the difference between uncertainty and unknowability (cf. Plous, 1993; Hastie and Dawes, 2009; Kahneman, 2011).”