A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF INDUCED TRAVEL EFFECTS IN THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC REGION

By L. Fulton, Robert B. Noland, D. Meszler, J. Thomas. 2000

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Induced Travel Demand: Research Design, Empirical Evidence, and Normative Policies (2002, methodology): “Consequently, most metropolitan and corridor-level studies have focused on how traffic changes along state-owned and state-maintained highways (Hansen et al. 1993; Hansen and Huang 1997; Noland and Cowart 2000; Fulton et al. 2000; Cervero and Hansen 2002).”
Automobile Externalities and Policies (2007, background): “, Fulton et al. 2000), although this could indicate accurate transportation planning. Cervero and Hansen (2002) find that, although the elasticity of road construction to VMT is positive (0.”
Road Expansion, Urban Growth, and Induced Travel: A Path Analysis (2001, unknown): “This helps to net out redistributive trips, since route diversions occur largely within the unit of analysis, although the downside of such aggregate analyses is that they are more prone to ecological fallacies when drawing statistical inferences.”
The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion: Evidence from US Cities (2011, unknown): “Lewis M. Fulton et al. (2000) instrument growth in lane kilometers of highways by short lags of the same variables in a first difference specification.”