Variants of uncertainty.
By Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky. 1982
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
- Jeffery S. McMullen
- Manuel Alector Ribeiro
- Yi Jiang
- Daniel Kahneman
- Shane Frederick
- David M. Townsend
- K. Woosnam
- Robert J. Griffin
Citations in the corpus
- Conceptions of sample and their relationship to statistical inference (2002, background): “On the basis of empirical evidence Kahneman and Tversky (1972) hypothesized that people often base judgments of the probability that a sample will occur on the degree to which they think the sample “(i) is similar in essential characteristics to its parent population; and (ii) reflects the salient f”
- Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment (1983, unknown): “Elsewhere (Kahneman & Tversky, 1982a), we distinguished between positive and negative accounts of judgments and preferences that violate normative rules.”
- The cognitive structure of surprise: looking for basic principles (2007, background): “4Notice that “to feel surprised” should not be confused with “having awareness of our own surprise” (for a distinction betweenphenomenal consciousnessandaccess consciousnessee Bloch, 1995; Chalmers, 1995).”
- Learning to Understand the Forms of Causality Implicit in Scientifically Accepted Explanations (2003, background): “As support, she draws upon the extensive literature documenting the difficulties that adults have in reasoning about random phenomena and evidence that adults, too, often use simplified strategies (e.g., Kahneman & Tversky, 1982; Konold, 1991).”
- Cultural Differences in Travel Risk Perception (2006, background): “Thus, individuals may perceive the same risk in different ways (Kahneman & Tversky, 1982).”
- Heuristics and Biases: Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate? (2002, unknown): “Kahneman and Tversky (1982) themselves (pp. 132–35) were among the first to discuss the issue of conversational implicatures in the tasks employed in the heuristics and biases research program.”
- Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment. (2002, background): “We assume that most participants in judgment studies know, at least vaguely, that the baserate is relevant and that the conjunction rule is valid (Kahneman & Tversky, 1982).”
- Heuristics and Biases: Introduction – Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now (2002, background): “(Kahneman & Tversky, 1982b, also offered positive and negative approaches to judgment errors, a perspective that is taken up by Kahneman & Frederick, Chapter 2.)”
- Uncertainty, Knowledge Problems, and Entrepreneurial Action (2018, background): “…in the field of entrepreneurship has been led for decades by a cadre of scholars who have explored the role of complexity and systems dynamics in shaping organizational emergence (Gartneret al., 1992;Katz&Gartner, 1988;Lichtenstein, Carter, Dooley, &Gartner, 2007; Tornikoski &Newbert, 2007).”