20/20 foresight : crafting strategy in an uncertain world

By Hugh Courtney. 2001

130 citations recorded by the source corpus.

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d9649b6c9ff00db1b931af58b7614c3687a5f84b

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Citations in the corpus

To Shape or Adapt: Knowledge Problems, Epistemologies, and Strategic Postures under Knightian Uncertainty (2020, background): “Uncertainty is a fundamental feature of markets where competitors continuously innovate to create new products and services, and where technological, economic, political, and sociocultural trends and shocks continuously make and remake firm environments (Courtney, 2001; Davis, Eisenhardt, & Bingham,”
Creating value through foresight : first mover advantages and strategic agility (2015, background): “Recently such notion has been expanded by Courtney [51].”
An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together? (2016, background): “Uncertainties are generally differentiated according to their different levels, nature, and source (Ascough et al., 2008; Courtney, 2001; Guillaume et al., 2012, 2015; Kwakkel et al., 2010; Refsgaard et al., 2007; Walker et al., 2003; Van Asselt, 2000).”
Cash is surprisingly valuable as a strategic asset (2014, background): “…a decision until the uncertainty is adequately resolved and then move aggressively or hedge by further developing each technological alternative (e.g., two pilot plants) to gain more information on the comparative advantages and disadvantages (Courtney, 2001, discusses such strategic hedging).”
Engaged in Engagement: We Are Delighted We Did It (2008, background): “This point reminds us as well of the position that an effective approach to organizational strategy is to build an organization designed to be adaptable (Courtney, 2001).”
Strategic risk analysis – a field version (2002, methodology): “Given these findings we propose to measure strategic risks as; Strategic risk = possibility x impact on business objectives To our knowledge, using the term``risk'' in this context is novel because we are dealing with possibilities and not classic probabilities as Courtney (2001) and most others do.”