An updated scenario typology

By P. V. Notten, Jan Rotmans, M. Asselt, D. Rothman. 2003

710 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Global and Planetary Change, Management Science and Operations Research

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/74f8af0a0a387d856337ca03533d885e628fd9b5

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In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

In Global and Planetary Change

In Management Science and Operations Research

Citations in the corpus

Futures Literacy: A Hybrid Strategic Scenario Method (2007, background): “As with any story, one of the primary challenges is how to imagine and then select a few distinctive and pertinent narratives from the vastness of the imaginable [ 18 ].”
Evolving practices in environmental scenarios: a new scenario typology (2008, methodology): “For example, the project goal characteristics delineated by van Notten et al (2003) in their updated scenario typology, include the inclusion of norms; vantage points; subject of scenario study; timescales and spatial scales.”
MANAGING TRANSITIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT (2006, background): “In this search and learning process, scenarios play an important role, in particular explorative scenarios, which attempt to explore future possibilities without very many decision-making constraints ( Van Notten et al., 2003 ).”
Advantages and disadvantages of scenario approaches for strategic foresight (2005, background): “There are many different types of scenarios and ways of classifying them (e.g. van Notten et al., 2003 or Martelli, 2001).”
Exploring future changes in smallholder farming systems by linking socio-economic scenarios with regional and household models (2014, background): “Scenarios are a set of alternate narratives in 25 words and/or numbers that describe plausible ways in which the future might unfold (van 26 Notten et al., 2003; Kok et al., 2007).”
The future tourism mobility of the world population: Emission growth versus climate policy (2011, background): “…the need for backcasting techniques (Åkerman and Höjer, 2006; Anderson and Cavendish, 2001; van Notten et al., 2003; Swart et al., 2002) and normative scenarios (Coates and Glenn, 2003; van Notten et al., 2003; Prideaux et al., 2003) to identify pathways that could lead to emission reductions.”
An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together? (2016, background): “…al. (2009) defined scenarios as “possible future states of the world that represent alternative plausible conditions under different assumptions” and Van Notten et al. (2005, 2003) defined scenarios as “coherent descriptions of alternative hypothetical futures that reflect different perspectives…”