Predicting the World Cup 2002 in soccer: Performance and confidence of experts and non-experts☆
By Patric Andersson, J. Edman, Mattias Ekman. 2005
106 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Management Science and Operations Research
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/6be44d0494db54295305270da88f9cf18b1ac3f2
How researchers see this paper
The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.
In Economics and Econometrics
- Gerd Gigerenzer
- Martin Spann
- Daniel G. Goldstein
- Bernd Skiera
- David Sendor
- Richard Verlander
- Juan Prieto-Rodriguez
- Paul Goodwin
In Management Science and Operations Research
- Gerd Gigerenzer
- Daniel G. Goldstein
- Martin Spann
- Bernd Skiera
- David Sendor
- Richard Verlander
- Paul Goodwin
- Marcus O'Connor
Citations in the corpus
- Issues in Sports Forecasting (2010, background): “(31)Andersson et al. (2005) evaluated the predictions of the outcome of the 2002 World Cup matches made by individuals who had familiarity with soccer.”
- Are differences in ranks good predictors for Grand Slam tennis matches (2010, background): “Thus, some scholars have compared the accuracies of these competing methods (Anderson et al., 2005; Boulier & Stekler, 2003; Forrest, Goddard, & Simmons, 2005).”
- Fast and frugal forecasting (2009, background): “Anderson, Edman, and Ekman (2005) posed the following question: How much better can soccer experts (sport journalists, soccer coaches and soccer fans) predict the outcome of the first round of the World Cup 2002 than nonexperts?”
- Sports forecasting: a comparison of the forecast accuracy of prediction markets, betting odds and tipsters (2009, background): “Previous studies consider the performance of betting odds and tipsters (for recent summaries, see Forrest et al. (2005) or Andersson et al. (2005)), respectively betting odds and prediction markets (ServanSchreiber et al., 2004) for sports forecasting, but knowledge about their comparative…”
- Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years (2006, background): “For instance, in predicting soccer-game outcomes, giving additional information to non-experts is found to increase their confidence, while not improving their predictive performance (Andersson et al., 2005; Ayton & Önkal, 1996).”
- Predicting Wimbledon 2005 tennis results by mere player name recognition (2007, unknown): “In contrast to statistical approaches, which try to integrate all potentially relevant information, a recent study by Andersson, Edman, and Ekman (2005) reports that American and Swedish students with little knowledge about soccer were nevertheless more successful in predicting the results of the…”