Fast and frugal forecasting

175 citations recorded by the source corpus.

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

Illusions in Regression Analysis (2012, unknown): “And do not try to estimate relationships for more than three variables in a regression (findings from Goldstein and Gigerenzer, 2009, are consistent with this rule-of-thumb).”
Moving beyond multiple regression analysis to algorithms: Calling for adoption of a paradigm shift from symmetric to asymmetric thinking in data analysis and crafting theory (2013, result): “Armstrong (2012) recommends against estimating relationships for more than three variables in a regression—findings from Goldstein and Gigerenzer (2009) are consistent with this rule-of-thumb.”
Science Current Directions in Psychological Current Directions in Violence Risk Assessment on Behalf Of: Association for Psychological Science (unknown): “We might speculate that incremental advances could be made by exploring novel assessment methods, including implicit measures (Nock et al., 2010) or simple heuristics (Goldstein & Gigerenzer, 2009).”
The recognition heuristic: A decade of research (2011, methodology): “Collective recognition has also been used for investment in the stock market, which is reviewed in Ort-mann, Gigerenzer, Borges, and Goldstein (2008), and for forecasting sport events, as reviewed in Goldstein and Gigerenzer (2009).”