Contributions of external forcings to Southern Annular Mode trends

By J. Arblaster, Gerald A. Meehl. 2006

559 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/5205c06f460ae67ae9e1c198a5a60c149b5c3839

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Citations in the corpus

Impact of stratospheric ozone on Southern Hemisphere circulation change: A multimodel assessment (2010, methodology): “…role in the tropospheric circulation of the SH in austral summer [e.g., Thompson and Solomon , 2002; Gillett and Thompson , 2003; Shindell and Schmidt , 2004; Arblaster and Meehl , 2006; Miller et al. , 2006; Cai and Cowan , 2007; Perlwitz et al. , 2008; Son et al. , 2008, 2009b, 2009a].”
Climate System Response to External Forcings and Climate Change Projections in CCSM4 (2012, background): “The time evolution of global temperature in models and observations has been attributed to having a significant contribution from natural factors in the early part of the century (the increase in solar forcing and relative dearth of volcanic eruptions and their associated cooling), a rough balance b”
Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017 (2018, background): “While some of the potential drivers exhibit significant trends (SAM, Arblaster and Meehl 2006) the connection with Western Cape precipitation is not necessarily causal, and explain only a fraction of the observed variability.”
The Hadley Circulation in Reanalyses: Climatology, Variability, and Change (2013, background): “Several studies (e.g., Thompson and Solomon 2002; Gillett and Thompson 2003; Arblaster and Meehl 2006) have attributed trends in SAM to the formation of the Antarctic ozone hole during austral spring (SON).”
Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations (2013, background): “…Annular Mode (NAM) and Southern Annular Mode (SAM) indices in response to greenhouse gas increases [e.g., Fyfe et al., 1999; Gillett et al., 2002; Arblaster and Meehl, 2006; Marshall et al., 2004], the magnitude and even the sign of projected future changes in these indices remain subject to…”
Is Missing Orographic Gravity Wave Drag near 60°S the Cause of the Stratospheric Zonal Wind Biases in Chemistry–Climate Models? (2012, background): “Second, since Antarctic ozone depletion is the primary driver of recent SH summertime climate change (e.g., Arblaster and Meehl 2006; McLandress et al. 2011), a delay in the breakdown of the Antarctic vortex will have an impact on the timing of the simulated tropospheric response.”
Stratospheric Ozone Depletion: The Main Driver of Twentieth-Century Atmospheric Circulation Changes in the Southern Hemisphere (2011, background): “On the other hand, many studies have shown that increasing greenhouse gases alone, in the absence of stratospheric ozone depletion (or recovery), also results in a poleward shift of the midlatitude jets, notably in the Southern Hemisphere (Fyfe et al. 1999; Kushner et al. 2001; Cai et al. 2003; Mars”
A Station-Based Southern Annular Mode Index from 1884 to 2005 (2009, background): “…the trend to anthropogenic changes in the middle atmosphere resulting from ozone depletion (e.g., Kushner et al. 2001; Thompson and Solomon 2002; Arblaster and Meehl 2006), and several papers discuss the future of the SAM given future CO2 emission and ozone concentration scenarios (e.g., Fyfe…”
A Diagnosis of the Seasonally and Longitudinally Varying Midlatitude Circulation Response to Global Warming (2014, methodology): “Signiﬁcance is deﬁned as where the anomalies are statistically different from zero by a two-tailed t test. recovery (Arblaster and Meehl 2006; McLandress et al. 2011; Polvani et al. 2011).”
The Southern Annular Mode: Variability, trends, and climate impacts across the Southern Hemisphere (2020, background): “…on the SAM (or don’t fully investigate the role of ozone depletion in their model configurations), or they suggest that the current positive trends are a combination of both increasing greenhouse gases and stratospheric ozone depletion (Julie M. Arblaster & Meehl, 2006; Shindell & Schmidt, 2004).”
Phase Speed Spectra and the Latitude of Surface Westerlies: Interannual Variability and Global Warming Trend (2008, background): “Although stratospheric ozone loss may be a greater contributor to the observed SAM trend in the late twentieth century, greenhouse gas increases will likely sustain and continue the positive annular mode trends in both hemispheres throughout the twenty-first century against the predicted recovery of”
The Steady-State Atmospheric Circulation Response to Climate Change–like Thermal Forcings in a Simple General Circulation Model (2010, background): “…ozone depletion are capable of reproducing the amplitude , structure, and seasonality of the observed trend in the SAM (Gillett and Thompson 2003; Arblaster and Meehl 2006; Miller et al. 2006), and simulations forced by future ozone recovery reveal a SAM trend in the opposite sense (Son et al.…”
Climate Change Projections for the Twenty-First Century and Climate Change Commitment in the CCSM3 (2006, background): “Changes in ozone seem to have made a major contribution to the trend for a more positive SAM late in the twentieth century (e.g., Arblaster and Meehl 2006), but the trends in the NAO are less easy to attribute.”
Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change (2009, unknown): “Consistent with previous studies [e.g., Gillett and Thompson, 2003; Shindell and Schmidt, 2004; Miller et al., 2006; Arblaster and Meehl, 2006; Cai and Cowan, 2007], and with the trends of the westerly jet (Figure 1c), ozone depletion has strengthened the positive trend of the SAM index caused by gr”
Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases (2011, methodology): “While GHGs are the dominant forcing by the end of the 21st Century, ozone forcing in the simulations likely 4 of 6 biases their result, resulting in a stronger influence of lower polar stratospheric cooling than that indicated by Figure 3d (while slightly different methodologies between our studies ”
Influence of the Tropics on the Southern Annular Mode (2012, background): “…circumpolar westerlies along 608S, which has been attributed both to stratospheric ozone depletion and to increased greenhouse gas concentrations (Thompson and Solomon 2002; Gillett and Thompson 2003; Marshall et al. 2004; Shindell and Schmidt 2004; Arblaster and Meehl 2006; Miller et al. 2006).”
Phase speed spectra and the recent poleward shift of Southern Hemisphere surface westerlies (2007, background): “Lett., 34, L21805, doi:10.1029/2007GL031200.”