Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases

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Separating signal and noise in atmospheric temperature changes: The importance of timescale (2011, background): “This dependence is also affected by forcing discontinuities at the splice point between the 20CEN and A1B runs [Arblaster et al., 2011].”
Solar Ultraviolet Radiation in a Changing Climate (2014, unknown): “It is still uncertain whether the effects on precipitation patterns from ozone recovery and increasing GHGs will cancel each other, or whether one will dominate over the other, and if or when this balance will be established 23 .”
The Southern Annular Mode: Variability, trends, and climate impacts across the Southern Hemisphere (2020, background): “For simulations that include ozone recovery, the 21 st century summer SAM ranges from insignificantly negative (J. M. Arblaster et al., 2011; Karpechko et al., 2010; Polvani, Previdi, et al., 2011; S.-W. Son et al., 2008) to positive (Miller et al., 2006), with the suggestion that GHG forcing and…”
The unprecedented coupled ocean-atmosphere summer heatwave in the New Zealand region 2017/18: drivers, mechanisms and impacts (2019, background): “…also produces a trend towards the SAM being more positive resulting in higher MSLPs in the New Zealand region, and a contraction of the southern westerlies poleward, however this trend will likely be countered over the coming several decades by stratospheric ozone recovery (Arblaster et al 2011).”