An Experimental Study of Belief Learning Using Elicited Beliefs

By Yaw Nyarko, Andrew Schotter. 2002

442 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Demography, Management Science and Operations Research, Safety Research

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/49f1f10e85d3eade86e5e014ecb52ed641f04d0f

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Citations in the corpus

Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise (2017, unknown): “Proper scoring rules are regularly used in lab experiments eliciting probabilistic expectations (e.g., Nyarko and Schotter 2002; Schotter and Trevino 2014), but not in survey research.”
MEASURING INEQUITY AVERSION IN A HETEROGENEOUS POPULATION USING EXPERIMENTAL DECISIONS AND SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES (2008, methodology): “Second, like Nyarko and Schotter (2002), we found that the model which incorporates proposers’ subjective probability distributions over the possible actions of responders fits the observed choice data better than a model which assumes that proposers have rational expectations.”
The Welfare Effects of Misperceived Product Costs: Data and Calibrations from the Automobile Market (2013, background): “Nyarko and Schotter (2002) show how beliefs a¤ect play in laboratory games and document that players actual beliefs di¤er from the assumptions around rational expectations or adaptive learning that would typically be made in the absence of belief data.”
Overconfidence in Forecasts of Own Performance: An Experimental Study (2009, unknown): “Quadratic scoring rules have commonly been used in experiments to elicit participants' beliefs about the choices of other individuals or their types (Sonnemans et al, 1998; Morrison and Rutstrom, 2000; Huck and Weizs?cker, 2002; Nyarko and Schotter, 2002), or to elicit probabilities in the context o”
Stated Beliefs and Play in Normal Form Games (2008, unknown): “40Others, e.g., Nyarko and Schotter (2002), have explored the relationship between actions and beliefs in the context of learning models.”
The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments (2010, background): “…an increased attention to beliefs by empirical economists (e.g., Manski (2004)) and behavioral game theorists (e.g., Dufwenberg and Gneezy (2000); Nyarko and Schotter (2002); Bhatt and Camerer (2005); Costa-Gomes and Weizsäcker (2008)) and (iii) the findings of Croson (2000) and Wilcox and…”
Beliefs and Voting Decisions: A Test of the Pivotal Voter Model (2008, background): “This is followed by a brief review of aggregate results.”
Agent-Based Models and Human Subject Experiments (2004, unknown): “Nyarko and Schotter (2002) have carried out such an exercise in a simple 2 × 2 matrix game where the unique Nash equilibrium prediction is in mixed strategies.”
Eliciting beliefs: Proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes and hedging (2010, methodology): “The method most frequently implemented in the lab to mitigate the e¤ect of risk aversion on elicited beliefs consists in using a PSR that pays smaller amounts (e.g. Nyarko and Schotter 2002, Rutström and Wilcox 2009).”
Information and beliefs in a repeated normal-form game (2012, unknown): “Nyarko and Schotter (2002) investigated the explanatory power of beliefs inferred from belief-learning models.”