Evaluating Sex Offenders

By D. Doren. 2002

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LOW BASE RATES LIMIT EXPERT CERTAINTY WHEN CURRENT ACTUARIALS ARE USED TO IDENTIFY SEXUALLY VIOLENT PREDATORS An Application of Bayes's Theorem (2006, background): “…To Identify Sexually Violent Predators: An Application of Bayes’s Theorem Many states in the United States have enacted legislation allowing for the post-prison civil commitment of sex offenders as “sexually violent predators” (SVPs) (Covington, 1997; Doren, 2002; Miller, Amenta, & Conroy, 2005).”
Actuarial Assessment of Risk for Reoffense Among Adult Sex Offenders (2007, methodology): “These studies have been reviewed in detail elsewhere (e.g., Doren, 2002; Langton, 2003).”
The integration of etiology and risk in sexual offenders: A theoretical framework (2004, background): “In terms of the current position to assess risk in sex offenders, Doren (2002) notes that one of the six main approaches may be taken to measure risk, from (1) (purely) unstructured/unguided clinical judgment, where a clinician may review case material without any structured assessment in mind and w”
STATIC-99 Coding Rules Revised - 2003 (2003, background): “The weaknesses of the STATIC-99 are that it demonstrates only moderate predictive accuracy (ROC = .71) and that it does not include all the factors that might be included in a wide-ranging risk assessment (Doren, 2002).”