The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055

By Peter G. Jones, P. K. Thornton. 2003

1,003 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Agronomy and Crop Science, Ecology, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/b07bdf2a80de84a055f9756bfdb8ba8d670390b4

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Citations in the corpus

Vulnerability, Climate change and Livestock - Research Opportunities and Challenges for Poverty Alleviation (2007, background): “In the tropics and subtropics in general, crop yields may fall by 10 to 20% to 2050 because of warming and drying, but there are places where yield losses may be much more severe (Jones and Thornton, 2003; Thornton et al., 2007).”
Teleconnected food supply shocks (2016, background): “…analyses of the impacts of climate change on food security focus typically on food production by quantifying to what extent changing temperature and precipitation patterns affect global or country-specific crop yields (Jones and Thornton 2003, Lobell and Field 2007, Nelson et al 2010, Lobell 2011).”
Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa (2013, positive): “Crop yield decreases, mostly for single cropping systems, were reported by other studies as well (Jones and Thornton, 2003; Lobell et al., 2008; Schlenker and Lobell, 2010; Thornton et al., 2011).”
Soils and food sufficiency. A review (2011, background): “Jones and Thornton (2003) estimated an overall reduction of only 10% in maize production by 2055, equivalent to losses of $2 billion/yr.”
Identification of Drought, Heat, and Combined Drought and Heat Tolerant Donors in Maize (2013, background): “Increasing temperatures are highly likely to result in large yield losses in maize production in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) (Jones and Thornton, 2003; Lobell et al., 2008; Rowhani et al., 2011).”
The impact of population growth and climate change on food security in Africa: looking ahead to 2050 (2017, background): “There is a growing body of evidence to suggest that climate change is likely to interrupt progress towards a world without hunger (Jones & Thornton, 2003; Parry, Rosenzweig, Iglesias, Livermore, & Fischer, 2004; Rosenzweig, Iglesias, Yang, Epstein, & Chivian, 2001; Schmidhuber & Tubiello, 2007;…”
Is Cassava the Answer to African Climate Change Adaptation? (2012, background): “1996, 2010; Challinor and Wheeler 2008a), and partly because most research on climate change impact assessment has focused on the better documented staples maize, wheat and rice (Aggarwal and Mall 2002; Bakker et al. 2005; Jamieson et al. 2000; Jones and Thornton 2003).”
Assessing the vulnerability of food crop systems in Africa to climate change (2007, neutral): “Zimbabwe maize CERES crop model �17 HadCM2 2040–2069 downscaled to 10 min of arc by interpolation. Jones and Thornton (2003)”
Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa (2009, background): “Temperature can affect agricultural yields both through increases in crop evapotranspiration (and hence heightened water stress in the absence of irrigation) and through accelerated crop development, with the combined effect of these 2 mechanisms often reducing African staple crop yields by 10%–30% ”
Evergreen Agriculture: a robust approach to sustainable food security in Africa (2010, background): “The uncertainty of obtaining higher crop yields is further worsened by the prevailing erratic weather conditions and future climate change (Jones and Thornton 2003).”
Global status of commercialized biotech/GM crops: 2006. (2006, background): “As temperatures rise and rainfall patterns change, additional losses of maize grain may approach 10 million tons/year (Jones and Thornton, 2003), currently worth almost US$5 bn.”
Climate change and variability in Sub-Saharan Africa: a review of current and future trends and impacts on agriculture and food security (2011, background): “Conway et al. 2007; Jones and Thornton 2003; Parry et al. 1999; Thornton et al. 2009).”
Implications of climate change for diseases, crop yields and food security (2011, background): “The consequence of these combined changes is expected to be reduced yields of several staple food crops (Jones and Thornton 2003; Lobell et al. 2008).”
Maize Cultivar Specific Parameters for Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) Application in Tanzania (2014, neutral): “Calibrated crop models with cultivar parameters can be used to optimize crop management [15]), to evaluate the impacts of climate change [16], to develop options to optimize resource use [4] or to develop new crop genotypes [17].”
Croppers to livestock keepers: livelihood transitions to 2050 in Africa due to climate change (2009, methodology): “The dataset of Mitchell et al. (2004) was used, and the relatively coarse GCM data were downscaled to 10 arcminutes using the methods of Jones and Thornton (2003).”