Replication and Researchers' Understanding of Confidence Intervals and Standard Error Bars.

By Geoff Cumming, Jennifer Williams, Fiona Fidler. 2004

176 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Experimental and Cognitive Psychology, General Decision Sciences, Statistics and Probability

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/6f49bd0f6ba6ba3ff4589f274840e0a605827cab

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Experimental and Cognitive Psychology

1. Geoff Cumming
2. Fiona Fidler
3. Ruth Beyth-Marom
4. Patrick Onghena
5. W. Van den Noortgate
6. John K. Kruschke

In General Decision Sciences

1. Geoff Cumming
2. Fiona Fidler
3. Patrick Onghena
4. John K. Kruschke

In Statistics and Probability

1. Fiona Fidler
2. Geoff Cumming
3. P. Beninger
4. Stelios Katsanevakis
5. I. Boldina
6. Ruth Beyth-Marom
7. S. Vanhoof
8. Patrick Onghena

Citations in the corpus

• Inference by eye: confidence intervals and how to read pictures of data. (2005, unknown): “First, according to evidence presented by Belia, Fidler, Williams, and Cumming (2004) and Cumming, Williams, and Fidler (2004), many researchers in psychology and some other disciplines have important misconceptions about CIs.”
• Strengthening statistical usage in marine ecology (2012, background): “…procedures are obviously the foundation of the entire statistical enterprise, and it is to be hoped that research in the recent field of statistical cognition will play a major role in the optimization of ‘cognition-friendly’ statistical procedure (Beyth-Marom et al., 2008; Cumming et al., 2004).”
• Students’ misconceptions of statistical inference: A review of the empirical evidence from research on statistics education (2007, background): “In Cumming et al. (2004) they conclude that graphical representation of confidence intervals in figure bars possibly prompts the misconception in a large majority of researchers.”
• Inference by Eye: Pictures of Confidence Intervals and Thinking About Levels of Confidence (2007, background): “In other articles we have reported studies of how researchers understand CIs, and evidence that various misconceptions are widespread (Belia et al. 2005; Cumming et al. 2004).”
• STATISTICAL COGNITION: TOWARDS EVIDENCE-BASED PRACTICE IN STATISTICS AND STATISTICS EDUCATION (2008, background): “Cumming, Williams, and Fidler (2004) found that many researchers in psychology, behavioural neuroscience, and medicine hold the misconception that a 95% CI is also a 95% prediction interval for a replication mean, whereas a 95% CI has an average 83% chance of including the mean of a replication exp”