The Recent Past and Near Future of Risk and/or Need Assessment

By Demetra Andrews, J. Bonta, J. Wormith. 2006

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Subfields: Clinical Psychology, Economics and Econometrics, Sociology and Political Science, Social Sciences & Humanities

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Citations in the corpus

Datasheets for datasets (2018, background): “Domains such as criminal justice (Garvie et al., 2016; Systems, 2017; Andrews et al., 2006), hiring and employment (Mann & O’Neil, 2016), critical infrastructure (O’Connor, 2017; Chui, 2017), and finance (Lin, 2012) all increasingly depend on machine learning methods.”
Interventions over Predictions: Reframing the Ethical Debate for Actuarial Risk Assessment (2017, methodology): “These assessments were structured around a standardized set of clinical items, but did not include a statisticalmechanism for validating scores and decisions [3].”
The Predictive Validity of a General Risk/Needs Assessment Inventory on Sexual Offender Recidivism and an Exploration of the Professional Override (2012, background): “…[actuarial] risk, and dynamic [criminogenic] risk/need), in that it goes beyond traditional risk and needs by including other clinically relevant factors and incorporating a case management portion (Andrews et al., 2006), thus extending beyond its predecessor the LSI-R (Andrews & Bonta, 1995).”
The LSI-R and the Compas (2008, background): “The COMPAS (Brennan & Oliver, 2000) is one of the best known fourth-generation assessment instruments (Andrews et al., 2006).”
A Signaling Perspective on Employment-Based Reentry Programming Training Completion as a Desistance Signal (2012, neutral): “In contrast, dynamic risk factors are included in risk prediction tools to capture new information about the changes in a person's risks and needs as they proceed through the criminal justice system or the reentry process (Andrews, Bonta, and Wormith, 2006).”
Domestic Violence Perpetrator Programs: A Proposal for Evidence-Based Standards in the United States (2016, background): “The need for a thorough and sound assessment protocol, given the heterogeneity of this population, to identify individuals at risk for repeat violence, as well as any relevant targets for treatment, and then to match treatment strategies to individuals or similar groups (Andrews et al., 2006) is not”
The accuracy of recidivism risk assessments for sexual offenders: a meta-analysis of 118 prediction studies. (2009, background): “Andrews et al. (2006) classified these measures as first generation, but they are substantially different from the typical forms of unstructured professional judgment studied by Meehl (1954) or Grove et al. (2000).”
Rehabilitating criminal justice policy and practice. (2010, background): “However, there is some evidence that combining the two sets of risk factors does bring some improvement (Andrews et al., 2006; Hanson & Morton-Bourgon, 2009).”
The Risk-Need-Responsivity Model of Assessment and Human Service in Prevention and Corrections: Crime-Prevention Jurisprudence (2007, background): “All in all, the research evidence regarding the validity of assessments of the central eight is impressive, and particularly so when that validity is compared to the mean predictive validity of unstructured professional judgement (mean r¼ 0.10; Andrews, Bonta, and Wormith 2006).”
General Risk and Need, Gender Specificity, and the Recidivism of Female Offenders (2010, methodology): “Andrews et al. (2006) reported grand means of criterion validity estimates of .41 for general recidivism, .29 for violence, and .37 for incarceration upon reconviction.”
Statistical Procedures for Forecasting Criminal Behavior (2013, background): “It follows that there is a key distinction between forecasting and explanation that has been badly conflated in some accounts (Andrews et al., 2006).”
Assessment of Community Reintegration Planning for Sex Offenders (2009, background): “Andrews, Bonta, and Wormith (2006) listed antisocial associates as one of the “big four” risk factors for general recidivism.”