Strong present-day aerosol cooling implies a hot future

By M. Andreae, Chris D. Jones, P. Cox. Nature, 2005

673 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/605b343e708fec10c0172696b393236b3882f6ae

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Atmospheric Science

1. D. Shindell
2. Piers M. Forster
3. P. Adams
4. J. Hansen
5. Fangqun Yu
6. R. Easter
7. K. Carslaw
8. Gavin A. Schmidt

In Global and Planetary Change

1. D. Shindell
2. Piers M. Forster
3. J. Hansen
4. P. Adams
5. Gavin A. Schmidt
6. R. Easter
7. Steven Ghan
8. Pete Smith

Citations in the corpus

• Initializing Decadal Climate Predictions with the GECCO Oceanic Synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic (2009, background): “When inferring predictability from scenarios of the evolution of greenhouse gas and aerosol concentrations, one must consider that there are large differences between scenarios, which depend on assumed socioeconomic developments (e.g., Andreae et al. 2005).”
• Efficiency of cloud condensation nuclei formation from ultrafine particles (2006, background): “This uncertainty prevents accurate assessments of the climate sensitivity due to radiative forcing (Andreae et al., 2005; Menon, 2004; Schwartz, 2004).”
• Climate Change Futures: Health, Ecological and Economic Dimensions (2004, background): “Andreae et al. (2005) project that a decrease in “cooling” sulfates also raises projections to 10°C (18°F).”
• Greenhouse gas mitigation in agriculture (2008, background): “Smoke contains a range of aerosols which can have either warming or cooling effects on the atmosphere, though the net effect is thought to be positive radiant forcing (Andreae 2001; Andreae & Merlet 2001; Menon et al. 2002; Anderson et al. 2003; Jones et al. 2003; Andreae et al. 2005; Venkataraman e”
• Twentieth century climate model response and climate sensitivity (2007, background): “7 Wm 2 [Andreae et al., 2005], while the observed change in surface-air temperature is taken to be 0.”
• Calibration and measurement uncertainties of a continuous-flow cloud condensation nuclei counter (DMT-CCNC): CCN activation of ammonium sulfate and sodium chloride aerosol particles in theory and experiment (2007, background): “The activation of CCN, i.e., the formation of cloud droplets by the condensation of water vapor on aerosol particles, is determined by particle size and composition as well as water vapor supersaturation (Charlson et al., 2001; Segal et al., 2004; Andreae et al., 2005, 2007; McFiggans et al., 2006).”
• Satellite-based estimate of the direct and indirect aerosol climate forcing (2008, background): “Aerosol indirect effects have not yet been quantified to satisfaction–an uncertainty that hampers our efforts to predict climate sensitivity and future climate change [Forster et al., 2007; Andreae et al., 2005].”
• Geoengineering: Encouraging Research and Overseeing Implementation (2006, background): “…intervention might become necessary unless the world becomes more successful in limiting greenhouse gas emissions and/or if global warming should proceed faster than currently anticipated partly due to cleaning the lower atmosphere of sulfur pollution (Andreae et al., 2005; Charlson et al., 1991).”
• Environmental constraints on the production and removal of the climatically active gas dimethylsulphide (DMS) and implications for ecosystem modelling (2007, background): “The hypothesis that this process may modulate the greenhouse effect of increased anthropogenic CO 2 input to the atmosphere, was indirectly supported by the modelling results of the effect of anthropogenic SO 2 input to the atmosphere (Andreae et al. 2005; Mitchell et al. 1995).”
• Albedo Enhancement by Stratospheric Sulfur Injections: A Contribution to Resolve a Policy Dilemma? (2006, background): “If Anderson et al. (2003a,b) are indeed correct, the result might be a stronger climate heating from air pollution cleanup than derived above (see also Andreae et al., 2005).”
• Aerosol cloud precipitation interactions. Part 1. The nature and sources of cloud-active aerosols (2008, background): “There is now clear and rapidly growing evidence that atmospheric aerosols have profound impacts on the thermodynamic and radiative energy budgets of the Earth (Houghton et al., 2001; Andreae et al., 2005; IPCC, 2007).”
• Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions (2007, background): “Model inadequacy is a serious barrier to the interpretation of model results for decision support, especially since, at present, there are no indications that the ‘missing’ processes would substantially ameliorate the climate change response, but an increasing number of plausible mechanisms which co”
• Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system (2007, background): “al., 1985; Harvey, 2000; Andreae et al., 2005, Boer et al., 2007] an energy imbalance QE − arising from a”
• Climate change events and stock market returns (2021, background): “During the last three decades, there has been a dramatic improvement in humanity ’ s understanding of the drivers of Earth ’ s climate (Hansen et al. 2005; Andreae, Jones, and Cox 2005; Matthews et al. 2009; Storelvmo et al. 2016; Phillips, Leirvik, and Storelvmo 2020).”