Scientific reticence and sea level rise

By J. Hansen. 2007

408 citations recorded by the source corpus.

I suggest that a ‘scientific reticence’ is inhibiting the communication of a threat of a potentially large sea level rise. Delay is dangerous because of system inertias that could create a situation with future sea level changes out of our control. I argue for calling together a panel of scientific leaders to hear evidence and issue a prompt plain-written report on current understanding of the sea level change issue.

Subfields: Global and Planetary Change, Oceanography

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/5906c0962d5d9d32c11ecb34badc3f3982c61e8a

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Global and Planetary Change

1. J. Hansen
2. Stéphane Hallegatte
3. Makiko Sato
4. J. Corfee-Morlot
5. G. Tselioudis
6. Columbia Univ. Earth Institute
7. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
8. J. P. van der Sluijs

In Oceanography

1. Columbia Univ. Earth Institute
2. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
3. Karina von Schuckmann Nasa Goddard Institute for Space Studies
4. Alan Krupnick
5. J. Hansen
6. Joseph E. Aldy
7. Stéphane Hallegatte
8. Chris Hope

Citations in the corpus

• Earth's energy imbalance and implications (2011, methodology): “Climate change alters the angular distribution of scattered and emitted radiation.”
• Assessing climate change impacts, sea level rise and storm surge risk in port cities: a case study on Copenhagen (2008, background): “, 2007), SLR could exceed 1 m by 2100 (see, e.g., Rahmstorf, 2007; Hansen, 2007).”
• Global warming in the pipeline (2022, background): “One of us has noted [183] that larding of papers and proposals with caveats and uncertainties increases chances of obtaining research support.”
• Designing Climate Mitigation Policy (2010, positive): “Some scientists project that sea levels could increase by several meters by 2100 (Hansen 2007)”
• Exploring the quality of evidence for complex and contested policy decisions (2008, background): “Questions that cannot be answered due to inconclusive evidence include: how likely are human-caused abrupt climate changes, such as nonlinear sea level rise (Hansen 2007)?”
• Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change (2011, background): “Our reason for caution is that ice sheet models may be too lethargic, responding more slowly to climate change than realworld ice sheets (Hansen 2005, 2007; Hansen et al. 2007a).”
• Critical issues for the calculation of the social cost of CO2: why the estimates from PAGE09 are higher than those from PAGE2002 (2013, positive): “The shorter values for this lifetime are consistent with ice sheet estimates in Hansen 2007, and would also be appropriate for discontinuities like monsoon disruption and thermohaline circulation, with the medium and longer values reflecting more mainstream views of the loss of ice sheets (Nicholls…”