Vulnerability of South African animal taxa to climate change

By B. Erasmus, A. S. van Jaarsveld, Steven L. Chown, M. Kshatriya, K. Wessels. 2002

388 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/31cac516cc9858dc1c1b33cd155377de6fe166dc

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Citations in the corpus

Modelling exploration of the future of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) under climate change—Range, abundance, genetic diversity and adaptive response (2010, background): “There is recently renewed interest in this approach to analyze the likely impacts of global change on species distributions and biodiversity (Araújo et al., 2004; Erasmus et al., 2002; Midgley et al., 2003; Thuiller et al., 2006a, 2006b).”
An elevational shift in butterfly species richness and composition accompanying recent climate change (2007, background): “Large-scale bioclimate models support this prediction for a variety of taxonomic groups and regions (e.g. Erasmus et al., 2002; Thuiller et al., 2005; Araújo et al., 2006).”
Climate change‐linked range expansion of Nathusius’ pipistrelle bat, Pipistrellus nathusii (Keyserling & Blasius, 1839) (2010, background): “Bioclimatic envelope modelling predicts significant range changes and high species turnover rates of regional and global faunas in response to climate change (Kerr & Packer, 1998; Erasmus et al., 2002; Peterson et al., 2002; Parmesan & Yohe, 2003; Levinsky et al., 2007).”
Modeled climate change effects on distributions of Canadian butterfly species (2004, background): “…on geographic distributions of individual species via ecological niche modeling (Carey and Brown 1994; Huntley et al. 1995; Kadmon and Heller 1998; Price 2000; Rutherford et al. 2000; Peterson et al. 2001, 2002b; Bakkenes et al. 2002; Erasmus et al. 2002; Peterson 2003; Siqueira and Peterson 2003).”
Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change (2004, background): “…from current distributions, several studies have suggested that species turnover may be very high in some regions, potentially resulting in modifications of community structure strong enough to lead to ecosystem disruption (Bakkenes et al., 2002; Erasmus et al., 2002; Peterson et al., 2002).”
Potential impacts of climatic change on the breeding and non‐breeding ranges and migration distance of European Sylvia warblers (2009, background): “Climatic envelope models have been used to simulate the potential impacts of climatic change on breeding ranges of birds (Erasmus et al., 2002; Thuiller, 2003; Huntley et al., 2006, 2007, 2008), including long-distance migrants, although few studies have modelled species non-breeding ranges (e.”
Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity (2004, neutral): “…et al ., 1995; Johnston & Schmitz, 1997; Kadmon & Heller, 1998; Price, 2000; Peterson et al ., 2001; Bakkenes et al ., 2002; Berry et al ., 2002; Erasmus et al ., 2002; Midgely et al ., 2002; Peterson et al ., 2002b; Pearson & Dawson, 2003; Peterson, 2003; Peterson & Shaw, 2003; Siqueira &…”
Ants, altitude and change in the northern Cape Floristic Region (2006, background): “…the response of southern African ecosystems to climate change have enjoyed little attention (contrast the investigations of Rutherford et al., 1999; Erasmus et al., 2002, and Midgley et al., 2002, 2003, with those of the Aspen FACE project – Karnosky et al., 2003), although clearly such…”
Taxonomic and biological trait differences of stream macroinvertebrate communities between mediterranean and temperate regions: implications for future climatic scenarios (2007, background): “Northward migration of T-macroinvertebrates would imply the local extinction of taxa in their actual range area (Bakkenes et al., 2002; Erasmus et al., 2002), which could have strong implications for the local taxonomic conservation, but only weak implications for the trait diversity and composition”
Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptions (2006, background): “However, few studies have attempted to assess the impacts of global change on animal distributions, and especially mammals (but see Erasmus et al., 2002; Burns et al., 2003).”
Time as a constraint on group size in spider monkeys (2006, positive): “Many studies have indeed noted a relationship between climate variables and animal density, social systems and various life history traits (e.g. Gevaerts 1992; Dasilva 1993; Kay et al. 1997; Post et al. 1999; Fisher and Owens 2000; Hill et al. 2000; Mysterud et al. 2000; Erasmus et al. 2002; Post an”
Interrogating recent range changes in South African birds: confounding signals from land use and climate change present a challenge for attribution (2011, background): “Partly contrary to expectations based on a regional climate impacts model (Erasmus et al., 2002), these were mostly range expansions to the south or west (see Appendix S1 in Supporting Information).”
How Useful Are Species Distribution Models for Managing Biodiversity under Future Climates (2010, background): “Although some studies suffer from this problem (e. g., Erasmus et al. 2002), others limit its impact by selecting species that are restricted to a study area (e.g., Harrison et al. 2006).”
Assessing the vulnerability of European butterflies to climate change using multiple criteria (2010, background): “…can also pose negative impacts on the persistence of species populations (Kerr and Cihlar 2004), and limit the capability of many groups of species to respond to climate change (Erasmus et al. 2002), including butterflies (Kocher and Williams 2000; Stefanescu et al. 2004; Franco et al. 2006).”