Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptions

By Wilfried Thuiller, O. Broennimann, G. Hughes, J. Alkemade, Guy F. Midgley, Fabio Corsi. 2006

341 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/fc0fa80a12f3f71d28b56eecb4cc24b8da07d265

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In Ecological Modeling

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Citations in the corpus

Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants' vulnerability to global change? (2006, methodology): “Secondly, land transformation is rarely included in climate change impact scenarios (but see Dirnbock et al., 2003; Thuiller et al., 2006a), although it is a major cause of biodiversity loss (Sala et al., 2000; Lavergne et al., 2005).”
Biogeography and conservation of taxa from remote regions: An application of ecological-niche based models and GIS to North-African canids (2009, methodology): “Three sets of environmental factors or ecogeographical variables (hereafter EGV) were selected for the ecological models according to their meaning to the ecology and distribution of African carnivores (Gaubert et al., 2006; Thuiller et al., 2006; Papes and Gaubert, 2007).”
Assessing the vulnerability of European butterflies to climate change using multiple criteria (2010, background): “Second, the limitations to species migration due to physical obstacles and human habitat transformation have rarely been considered (Bomhard et al. 2005; Broennimann et al. 2006; Thuiller et al. 2006), although the challenges for species tracking the changing climate are greater than ever before (Hu”
Global change effects on humid tropical forests: Evidence for biogeochemical and biodiversity shifts at an ecosystem scale (2016, background): “A statistical modeling study of African mammals predicted anywhere from 10 to 40% reduction in biodiversity by 2080 with warming, depending on how well species could migrate to and colonize new suitable habitat [Thuiller et al., 2006].”
Home away from home — objective mapping of high‐risk source areas for plant introductions (2007, background): “Recent studies have shown that the extent and distribution of the main invasive plant species are influenced by interactions between environmental conditions (notably climate) and human usage factors (e.g. Thuiller et al., 2006b).”
Different climatic envelopes among invasive populations may lead to underestimations of current and future biological invasions (2009, methodology): “We applied a conservative classification where AUC < 0.8 is a poor or null model; 0.8 < AUC < 0.9 is fair; 0.9 < AUC < 0.95 is good and 0.95 < AUC < 1.0 is very good (Thuiller et al., 2006).”
Climate Change and Species Range Dynamics in Protected Areas (2011, background): “So far, only correlative analyses have been applied to large numbers of species at the same time to explore species representation in protected areas under various climate change scenarios (e.g., Thuiller et al. 2006, Hannah et al. 2007).”
Predicting impacts of climate change on biodiversity: a role for semi‐mechanistic community‐level modelling (2011, background): “…a clearer representation of climate change impacts on biodiversity for a region and has been previously applied to taxa such as birds, amphibians and reptiles in Europe (Araújo et al., 2006; Huntley et al., 2008), as well as birds and mammals in Africa (Thuiller et al., 2006; Hole et al., 2009).”
Potential impacts of climatic change on the breeding and non‐breeding ranges and migration distance of European Sylvia warblers (2009, background): “…animal species in several regions (e.g. Huntley et al., 1995, 2004; Sykes, 1997; Erasmus et al., 2002; Williams et al., 2005; Araújo et al., 2006; Thuiller et al., 2006) and for the breeding ranges of migratory birds (e.g. Huntley et al., 2006, 2007, 2008), models of the non-breeding ranges of…”
Bring the captive closer to the wild: redefining the role of ex situ conservation (2011, background): “Changes in climate will cause concomitant shifts in the viable geographical ranges for many species and habitats (Walther et al., 2002, 2005; Thuiller et al., 2006; Secretariat of the CBD, 2010) and species’ ranges in the extreme polar areas and in high montane areas (from where many species cannot…”
Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity (2012, background): “However, a few studies have explored the impact of climate change on functional (Thuiller et al. 2006) and phylogenetic diversity (Thuiller et al. 2011), and the effects on genetic diversity are only beginning to be explored.”
POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON ELEVATIONAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF TROPICAL BIRDS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA (2007, background): “Recent studies have examined a variety of taxa including plants (Bakkenes et al. 2002), dung beetles (Menendez and Gutiérrez 2004), butterflies (Wilson et al. 2005), amphibians (Pounds et al. 2006), birds (BohningGaese and Lemoine 2004), and mammals (Cameron and Scheel 2001, Thuiller et al. 2006).”
The performance of state-of-the-art modelling techniques depends on geographical distribution of species. (2009, methodology): “GAMs are non-parametric extensions of GLMs (Hastie and Tibshirani, 1990), and they are often used in biogeographical studies (Guisan et al., 2002; Araújo et al., 2004; Thuiller et al., 2006).”
Towards a mechanistic understanding of the responses of large terrestrial mammals to heat and aridity associated with climate change (2016, background): “Rather than tracking climate change independently, therefore, large carnivores may instead follow their prey [31].”
Global warming, elevational ranges and the vulnerability of tropical biota (2010, background): “Finally, further habitat loss and fragmentation and rising hunting pressure will exacerbate the effects of rising temperature for many species (Laurance and Peres, 2006; Thuiller et al., 2006).”
Biodiversity and extinction (2007, neutral): “…and patterns of global environmental change suggest that this will continue to be the case, with many of the pressures that these species have faced being predicted to increase rather than ease in their intensity (Cardillo et al., 2004; Scholze et al., 2006; Lewis, 2006; Thuiller et al., 2006).”
Climate change hastens the turnover of stream fish assemblages (2008, methodology): “Taking into account ecological characteristics of species should be helpful to identify similar responses across contrasted assemblages (Thuiller et al., 2004, 2006b) and should thus enhance our understanding of potential impacts of climate change on stream fish assemblages.”