The offender group reconviction scale: a statistical reconviction score for use by probation officers

By J. Copas, P. Marshall. 2002

150 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Clinical Psychology, Sociology and Political Science

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Clinical Psychology

1. J. Bonta
2. J. Wormith
3. Demetra Andrews
4. Jessica Woodhams
5. K. Geraghty
6. Min Yang
7. Jeremy Coid
8. I. brunton-smith

In Sociology and Political Science

1. Cynthia Rudin
2. J. Bonta
3. J. Wormith
4. Demetra Andrews
5. Jessica Woodhams
6. K. Geraghty
7. Berk Ustun
8. Jiaming Zeng

Citations in the corpus

• Interpretable classification models for recidivism prediction (2015, background): “Risk assessment tools for general recidivism risk prediction include: the Salient Factor Score (Hoffman and Adelberg 1980, Hoffman 1994), the Offender Group Reconviction Scale (Copas and Marshall 1998, Maden et al. 2006, Howard et al. 2009), the Statistical Information of Recidivism scale (Nafekh an”
• Should We Trust Algorithms? (2020, methodology): “The idea of algorithms in criminal justice is not new: it is rarely acknowledged that simple scoring systems for recidivism based on a statistical regression analysis have been used for decades (Copas & Marshall, 1998).”
• The efficacy of violence prediction: a meta-analytic comparison of nine risk assessment tools. (2010, background): “…Bonta, Harman, Hann, & Cormier, 1996; Risk Matrix 2000 for Violence [RM2000V]; Thornton, 2007); and the Offender Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS; Copas & Marshall, 1998), whereas others are regarded as third-generation tools with mostly dynamic or potentially changeable risk predictors (Level…”
• The Effects of Prisoner Attachment to Family on Re-entry Outcomes: A Longitudinal Assessment (2016, methodology): “…0.27 0.45 1,650 Visit frequency 3.77 2.08 1,649 Proven reoffending (1 year) 0.33 0.47 2,405 Proven reoffending (2 years) 0.50 0.50 2,405 Currently using class A drugs 0.22 0.42 1,597 Currently employed 0.26 0.44 1,604 4Offending history is measured using the Copas rate (Copas and Marshall 1998).”
• The Recent Past and Near Future of Risk and/or Need Assessment (2006, background): “The possibility of achieving satisfactory prediction without the use of clinical items was demonstrated in a study of the Offender Group Reconviction Score (OGRS; Copas & Marshall, 1998).”
• The predictive validity of risk assessment tools for female offenders: A systematic review (2015, background): “…& Wormirth, 2004), Level of Service Inventory Ontario Revision (LSI-OR; Andrews, Bonta, & Wormirth, 2004), Offender Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS; Copas & Marshall, 1998), Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R; Hare, 1991), Risk Assessment Scales (RISc; Van Montfoort & Reclassering Nederland,…”
• Offender Risk Assessment (2002, methodology): “…15 items on the Statistical Information on Recidivism (used in Canada) (Nuffield, 1982), six of seven items on the Salient Factor Score (used in the United States) (Hoffman, 1994), and four of six items on the Offender Group Reconviction Scale (used in the United Kingdom) (Copas & Marshall, 1998).”
• Exploring the Relationship between Prison Social Climate and Reoffending* (2020, background): “See Copas and Marshall (1998) for more information.”
• Which method predicts recidivism best?: a comparison of statistical, machine learning and data mining predictive models (2013, background): “It was shown that with the limited number of five static predictors a reasonably accurate estimate of the (2-year) group reconviction probabilities could be constructed (Copas and Marshall, 1998).”