Peak Car and Beyond: The Fourth Era of Travel

By D. Metz. 2013

206 citations recorded by the source corpus.

There is emerging evidence that personal daily travel, particularly by car, has ceased to grow in the developed economies. This can be attributed to saturation of demand, given high levels of access and choice now widely available, together with constraints on higher speeds. We are therefore at a time of transition from an era of growth of per capita travel to an era of stability, in which the future factors determining the growth of total travel demand are demographic — population growth, increasing longevity, and urbanisation. The peak car phenomenon, which marks this transition, is seen in successful cities that attract a growing population whose travel needs are increasingly met by investment in rail-based transport, the revival of which is a characteristic of the new era.

Subfields: Automotive Engineering, Transportation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/e37af53c79ea46d3eb5208eaab0eed369bf62065

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In Automotive Engineering

In Transportation

Citations in the corpus

Evolving Narratives of Low-Carbon Futures in Transportation (2016, background): “…observes that transport demand, especially but not only in urban areas in OECD countries saturates (Goodwin & Van Dender, 2013; Kenworthy, 2014; Metz, 2013; Millard-Ball & Schipper, 2011; Newman, Kenworthy, & Glazebrook, 2013).5 But in some ‘peak travel’ literature, urban transport measures,…”
Determinants of car ownership among young households in the Netherlands: the role of urbanisation and demographic and economic characteristics (2016, unknown): “ Demographic trends seem to be more important than economic developments or technological change (Metz, 2013); in particular, the role of traditional factors (such as income) appears to have weakened over the years (Goodwin and Van Dender, 2013).”
Causes of Youth Licensing Decline: A Synthesis of Evidence (2013, background): “As noted in this issue, several industrialised nations have identified stagnating or decreasing car travel demand (Headicar, 2013; Kuhnimhof, Buehler, Wirtz, & Kalinowska, 2012b; Le Vine, Jones, & Polak, 2009; Metz, 2013; Newman & Kenworthy, 2011; Puentes & Tomer, 2008; Zumkeller, Chlond, & Manz, 20”