The rule of three: How the third event signals the emergence of a streak.

By Kurt A. Carlson, Suzanne B. Shu. 2007

114 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Gender Studies, Sociology and Political Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/e2a3f23235c1f7981f22213c1d2a76e834b005e9

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Economics and Econometrics

1. Gilles Hilary
2. Charles Hsu

In Gender Studies

1. Gilles Hilary

Citations in the corpus

• Endogenous Overconfidence in Managerial Forecasts (2011, background): “The results are 21 Carlson and Shu (2007) suggest that the occurrence of at least three events in a row is necessary for individuals to form the subjective belief that a streak has emerged.”
• Psychological Momentum: Why Success Breeds Success (2014, background): “As noted earlier, the frequency of an event is positively related to its perceived streakiness and researchers’ ability to statistically detect the phenomenon (Arkes, 2013; Carlson & Shu, 2007).”