Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods
By Alan L. Porter, B. Ashton, G. Clar, J. Coates, K. Cuhls, S. Cunningham, K. Ducatel, P. Duin, Luke Georghiou, T. Gordon and 9 more. 2004
407 citations recorded by the source corpus.
Many forms of analyzing future technology and its consequences coexist, for example, technology intelligence, forecasting, roadmapping, assessment, and foresight. All of these techniques fit into a field we call technology futures analysis (TFA). These methods have matured rather separately, with little interchange and sharing of information on methods and processes. There is a range of experience in the use of all of these, but changes in the technologies in which these methods are used-from industrial to information and molecular-make it necessary to reconsider the TFA methods. New methods need to be explored to take advantage of information resources and new approaches to complex systems. Examination of the processes sheds light on ways to improve the usefulness of TFA to a variety of potential users, from corporate managers to national policy makers. Sharing perspectives among the several TFA forms and introducing new approaches from other fields should advance TFA methods and processes to better inform technology management as well as science and research policy. (C) 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Subfields: Finance, Management Science and Operations Research, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d64cd81e5a203a9be55dd78564627ea20bde7b48
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Citations in the corpus
- Corporate Foresight: Its Three Roles in Enhancing the Innovation Capacity of a Firm (2011, unknown): “These continue to aim at identifying the technologies that yield the greatest economic and social benefit in order to then provide additional research funding to foster their development [2, 91, 92].”
- Creating value through foresight : first mover advantages and strategic agility (2015, background): “More generally, scholars investigated the future-oriented techniques that might be used for enhancing decision-making at the level of business and corporate strategy [10].”
- An overview of the literature on technology roadmapping (TRM): Contributions and trends (2013, background): “Porter et al. [33] suggested that the roadmap is an [75] compared the advantages and disadvantages of applying the roadmapping approach for the generation of disruptive technologies that could potentially result in the creation of cheaper and better products and services.”