Expert judgment: Some necessary conditions and an example.

By H. J. Einhorn. 1974

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Citations in the corpus

From amateurs to connoisseurs: modeling the evolution of user expertise through online reviews (2013, background): “Indeed, one can argue that some notion of ‘predictability’ is a necessary condition for such users to be considered ‘experts’ [12].”
Multi-criteria group consensus under linear cost opinion elasticity (2007, background): “However, in many cases experts do provide a quantitative value of their judgments such as the professional livestock judges discussed in [4].”
Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989, unknown): “Einhorn (1974) discussed the connection between consensus and expertise.”
The Effects Of Clinical And Scientific Expert Testimony On Juror Decision Making In Capital Sentencing (2001, background): “In addition to relying on cognitive biases and heuristics that affect the judgments of ordinary people under conditions of uncertainty (Kahneman, Slovic, & Tversky, 1982), 1 mental health practitioners have been found to poorly combine information, use irrelevant information, and inappropriately var”
Vcs' Decision Processes: Evidence Suggesting More Experience May Not Always Be Better (2003, background): “Einhorn (1974) describes consensus as a necessary but not sufficient condition for accuracy among a group of expert decision-makers.”
Cognitive task analysis (2009, background): “In medicine, for example, studies of the reliability of diagnoses by expert physicians for identical symptoms presented at different times only correlated between .40 and .50 (Einhorn, 1974; Hoffman, Slovic, & Rorer, 1968).”