Back to the future: Temporal perspective in the explanation of events

By Deborah J. Mitchell, J. Russo, N. Pennington. 1989

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

Explanation in Human-AI Systems: A Literature Meta-Review, Synopsis of Key Ideas and Publications, and Bibliography for Explainable AI (2019, neutral): “(Axelrod, Mitchell, Russo, and Rennington, 1989: Klein and Crandall, 1995; Moore and Hoffman, 2011).”
Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: enhancing the scenario method (2009, unknown): “This shift in perspective from the future to the past was found to generate more causes for the top event in a study by Mitchell, Russo, and Pennington (1989).”
Timing and Virtual Observability in Ultimatum Bargaining and “Weak Link” Coordination Games (2004, background): “Evidence from psychology experiments (e.g., Mitchell et al., 1989 ) shows that description of possible outcomes of previously-occurring events is often richer and more complex than description of later-occurring events: The past is easier to “imagine” than the future.”
Overconfidence as a cause of diagnostic error in medicine. (2008, methodology): “Another noteworthy approach developed by the military, which suggests focusing on a comprehensive conscious view of the proposed diagnosis and how this was derived, is the technique of prospective hindsight.(158) Once the initial diagnosis is made, the clinician figuratively gazes into a crystal bal”