An Observationally Based Estimate of the Climate Sensitivity

By J. Gregory, R. Stouffer, S. Raper, P. Stott, N. Rayner. 2002

310 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/acf69835e5e8933fe97a4eef2042500275c5be7d

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Atmospheric Science

1. M. Webb
2. J. Gregory
3. Reto Knutti
4. Piers M. Forster
5. G. Roe
6. J. Annan
7. Gerald A. Meehl
8. J. Hargreaves

In Global and Planetary Change

1. Reto Knutti
2. M. Webb
3. J. Gregory
4. Piers M. Forster
5. Gerald A. Meehl
6. J. Annan
7. J. Hargreaves
8. G. Roe

Citations in the corpus

• Tropospheric Adjustment Induces a Cloud Component in CO2 Forcing (2008, methodology): “Comparison of components of forcing for 2 CO2 evaluated using the regression method of Gregory et al. (2004) and the fixed SST method of Hansen et al. (2002) in two versions of the HadSM3 slab model. TABLE 3. Comparison of components of forcing for 2 CO2 evaluated using the regression method of Greg”
• Feedbacks, Timescales, and Seeing Red (2009, background): “This appears to be true for the climate system (e.g., Gregory et al. 2002, Allen et al. 2006).”
• Comment on ''Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system'' by S. E. Schwartz (2008, background): “Previous research indicates that, when correctly analyzed, the 20th century trends do not strongly constrain climate sensitivity other than to rule out low values [e.g., Gregory et al., 2002; Forest et al., 2006].”
• Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations (2004, background): “consistent with uncertainties in observed transient climate change and forcin”
• Multivariate Bayesian analysis of atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (2007, background): “Recent work in determining probabilities of global temperature change includes Allen et al. (2000), Schneider (2001), Wigley and Raper (2001), Forest et al. (2002), Gregory et al. (2002), Knutti et al. (2002,2003), Frame et al. (2005).”
• The Climate Sensitivity and Its Components Diagnosed from Earth Radiation Budget Data (2005, background): “For the uncertainty analysis we assume, like Gregory et al. (2002), that errors in the observable parameters (N, Q, and ⌬T s ) all have Gaussian distributions.”
• Total aerosol effect: radiative forcing or radiative flux perturbation? (2009, background): “5 Inverse estimates of the direct and indirect aerosol effects Andronova and Schlesinger(2001), Knutti et al.(2002), Gregory et al.(2002), Forest et al.(2002), Knutti et al. (2003), Forest et al.(2006), Stott et al.(2006), Shindell and Faluvegi (2009), Murphy et al.(2009) Acknowledgements.”
• On the generation and interpretation of probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity (2011, background): “More recently, a proliferation of probabilistic estimates explicitly based on calculations using observational data have also been presented (eg Andronova and Schlesinger 2001; Gregory et al. 2002; Forest et al. 2002; Hegerl et al. 2006).”
• An observationally based energy balance for the Earth since 1950 (2009, methodology): “data [Gregory et al., 2002].”
• Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system (2007, background): “forcing would be shortwave direct and indirect forcing by tropospheric aerosols [Gregory et al., 2002; Andreae et al., 2005] although forcing by all other changes in the climate”
• Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases (2005, background): “The possibility of such high sensitivities has been reported by studies using observations to constrain this quantit”
• Cloud Feedbacks in the Climate System: A Critical Review (2005, methodology): “…recent studies, for example, discuss some of the broad limitations of (1) and describe procedures for using it to estimate (cid:5) Q from GCM experiments (Hansen et al. 1997; Joshi et al. 2003; Gregory et al. 2004) and even procedures for estimating (cid:6) from observations (Gregory et al. 2002).”
• Effect of climate sensitivity on the Response to Volcanic Forcing (2005, unknown): “Nevertheless, the results are consistent with other empirical sensitivity estimates (e.g., Andronova and Schlesinger [2001]; Forest et al. [2002]; Gregory et al. [2002] ; Harvey and Kaufmann [2002], studies that are fraught with uncertainties arising from uncertainties in past forcings on decadal a”