Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets

By Charles F. Manski. 2006

368 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Finance

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ac5d5740bfb19550eea1c879edf98fd49e26b2a5

Citations in the corpus

• Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise (2017, neutral): “My simple study interpreting prices in prediction markets is illustrative (Manski, 2006).”
• A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs (2014, neutral): “McCarthy (1956) mentions this claim and attributes it to Gleason (unpublished).”