The affective costs of overconfidence

By A. P. Mcgraw, Barbara A. Mellers, Ilana Ritov, Peter Mcgraw. 2004

108 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Applied Psychology, Economics and Econometrics, General Decision Sciences

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/9c2377b4575efabc8a3779d05bb40598524518fe

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Applied Psychology

1. Hal R. Arkes
2. Winston R. Sieck

In Economics and Econometrics

1. Laurence T. Maloney
2. Hang Zhang
3. Hal R. Arkes

In General Decision Sciences

1. Laurence T. Maloney
2. Hang Zhang
3. Hal R. Arkes
4. Winston R. Sieck

Citations in the corpus

• The recalcitrance of overconfidence and its contribution to decision aid neglect (2005, background): “McGraw et al. (2004) found that overconfidence was associated with negative affect, and that reducing overconfidence led to more positive emotional responses to a variety of tasks.”
• Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition (2012, background): “However, we doubt this effect of true probability definition can apply to the confidence rating data of McGraw et al. (2004), in which the γ> 1 pattern holds even when the success rate of basketball shot is grouped by the distance to the basket rather than by participants’ confidence rating (not sho”