The UK transport carbon model: An integrated life cycle approach to explore low carbon futures

By Christian Brand, Martino Tran, Jillian Anable. 2012

186 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Current debate focuses on the need for the transport sector to contribute to more ambitious carbon emission reduction targets. In the UK, various macro-economic and energy system wide, top-down models are used to explore the potential for energy demand and carbon emissions reduction in the transport sector. These models can lack the bottom-up, sectoral detail needed to simulate the effects of integrated demand and supply-side policy strategies to reduce emissions. Bridging the gap between short-term forecasting and long-term scenario “models”, this paper introduces a newly developed strategic transport, energy, emissions and environmental impacts model, the UK Transport Carbon Model (UKTCM). The UKTCM covers the range of transport–energy–environment issues from socio-economic and policy influences on energy demand reduction through to life cycle carbon emissions and external costs. The model is demonstrated in this paper by presenting the results of three single policies and one policy package scenario. Limitations of the model are also discussed. Developed under the auspices of the UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC) the UKTCM can be used to develop transport policy scenarios that explore the full range of technological, fiscal, regulatory and behavioural change policy interventions to meet UK climate change and energy security goals.

Subfields: Automotive Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/8dd09bca7c757d89d753ea600acce99e338a7aac

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Citations in the corpus

Evolving Narratives of Low-Carbon Futures in Transportation (2016, background): “Specifically, Anable, Brand, Tran, and Eyre (2012), building on the model of Brand, Tran, and Anable (2012) identified lifestyle scenarios that are based on a cultural shift with rapidly changing social norms, complementing supply-side changes in technologies.”
An exploratory policy analysis of electric vehicle sales competition and sensitivity to infrastructure in Europe (2017, result): “This aligns well with observations from previous studies (Pasaoglu et al., 2016; Harrison & Shepherd, 2014; Stepp et al., 2009; Brand et al., 2012; Foxon et al., 2005; ITF, 2008).”
Analyzing the determinants of carbon emissions from transportation in European countries: the role of renewable energy and urbanization (2020, background): “2015), but still unable to control carbon emission which is significantly increasing from the transport sector (Brand et al. 2012).”
Scientific research about climate change mitigation in transport: a critical review (2011, background): “under various assumptions about price and availability (Hensher, 2008; Axsen et al., 2009; Brand et al., 2011; Musti and Kockelman, 2011).”
The spatial pattern of demand in the early market for electric vehicles: Evidence from the United Kingdom (2018, background): “(2013) evaluate the impact of different fiscal transport policy mixes through the UK Transport Carbon Model (Brand et al. 2012) with their findings supporting the importance of feebates by suggesting that policies which offer”
Accelerating the transformation to a low carbon passenger transport system: The role of car purchase taxes, feebates, road taxes and scrappage incentives in the UK (2013, methodology): “For the analysis presented in this paper the UKTCM has been developed, updated and recalibrated from version 1 (Brand, 2010a ; Brand et al., 2012) to the current version 2 (V2).”
Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world (2020, background): “TEAM-UK represents an enhanced version of the UK Transport Carbon Model (Brand et al., 2012) – the main improvements include a wider range of outcome measures (air and noise pollution, land use change) and a more detailed passenger transport demand model.”
China's transportation energy consumption and CO2 emissions from a global perspective (2015, background): “…studies do not separately represent urban, rural and intercity passenger transport despite significant differences in travel patterns, vehicle speed, and fuel economy, because of different road infrastructure and traffic conditions (Brand et al., 2012; Girod et al., 2012; Zhang et al., 2007).”