Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat

By D. Battisti, Rosamond L. Naylor. Science, 2009

1,730 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Plant Science, Soil Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/59b9a80b908259e71d539c215bb6d3a038c09493

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Citations in the corpus

Integrating a broader notion of food security and gender empowerment into the African Green Revolution (2009, background): “…desertification in the Sahel, increased rainfall in some areas, and longer drought periods in others—all negatively impacting crop yields with some predictions of 15% cereal yield losses (Battisti and Naylor 2009; Christensen et al. 2007; Ngaira 2007; Fischer et al. 2005; Funk et al. 2008).”
Enhancing eco-efficiency in agro-ecosystems through soil carbon sequestration. (2010, background): “The goal is to adapt agriculture to climate change (Howden et al., 2007; Batisti and Naylor, 2009), through restoration of soil quality by improving the quantity and quality of the SOC pool (Lal, 2004a).”
An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress (2010, background): “It has been similarly pointed out that a few degrees of warming will produce unprecedented temperature and agricultural stresses in the tropics (23).”
Global urbanization and food production in direct competition for land: Leverage places to mitigate impacts on SDG2 and on the Earth System (2019, background): “…the loss of peri-urban croplands to urban expansion without risking food security there are calls to improve cultivation practices by way of intensification and by opening up of new croplands by converting pristine ecosystems (Balmford et al., 2005; Battisti and Naylor, 2009; Foley et al., 2011).”
A framework for incorporating evolutionary genomics into biodiversity conservation and management (2015, background): “The negative impacts of human activities on biodiversity are well documented and range from direct effects triggering species extinctions through overexploitation to indirect effects through removal of habitat for agriculture or resource extraction [23].”
Role of Species and Planting Configuration on Transpiration and Microclimate for Urban Trees (2020, background): “For example, there was an estimated 52,000 excess deaths between June and August from heat stress during the 2003 record hot summer in Western Europe [10].”
Drought Stress and Root-Associated Bacterial Communities (2018, background): “Environmental models predict increasing frequency and intensity of drought in coming years due to global climate change (Battisti and Naylor, 2009; Lesk et al., 2016).”
Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production (2016, background): “With such disasters expected to become more common in the future 1,6,7 , policy makers need robust scientific information in order to develop effective disaster risk management and adaptation interventions (e.g., infrastructure, technology, management, and insurance) to protect the most vulnerable…”
Linking agricultural adaptation strategies, food security and vulnerability: evidence from West Africa (2016, neutral): “…posed by climate change on food security in rural sub-Saharan Africa is well documented and concerns on its impact have been raised by a plethora of authors (e.g. Brown and Funk 2008; Battisti and Naylor 2009; Conway 2011; Beddington et al. 2012; Thornton et al. 2012; Thornton and Herrero 2014).”
Global potential to increase crop production through water management in rainfed agriculture (2009, background): “Whereas rising temperatures and regional soil moisture declines tend to negatively affect crop production (Parry et al 2004, Lobell and Field 2007, Battisti and Naylor 2009), direct effects of elevated CO2 upon plants will probably increase production (Tubiello and Ewert 2002, Challinor and Wheeler…”
Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: An idealised case study over Europe (2013, methodology): “It is known from case studies of the recent past that crop yields are seen to reduce in particularly hot seasons (e.g., Battisti and Naylor, 2009), and producing estimates of the number and extent of such seasons in the futuremay aid crop breeding or motivate a change in the crops grown in a…”