Emission pathways consistent with a 2[thinsp][deg]C global temperature limit

By Joeri Rogelj, W. Hare, J. Lowe, D. P. Vuuren, Keywan Riahi, Ben Matthews, T. Hanaoka, K. Jiang, Malte Meinshausen. 2011

255 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Atmospheric Science, Economics and Econometrics, Global and Planetary Change

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/4c99bd8150fdd08a9b8cd2906ff31cdcba3bfc39

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Citations in the corpus

Regional GHG reduction targets based on effort sharing: a comparison of studies (2014, background): “This is based on the following assumptions: Rogelj et al. (2011) concluded, based on the results of many cost-optimal mitigation pathways, that a global GHG emission level of 44 GtCO2e (range of 41–46 GtCO2e) by 2020 would be consistent with a ‘likely’ (i.e. greater than 66”
The role of negative CO2 emissions for reaching 2 °C—insights from integrated assessment modelling (2013, background): “While it is even not certain that current pledges to the Copenhagen Agreement will be successfully implemented, they would certainly not lead to the emission levels associated with least-costs ‘2 °C target’ pathways (Den Elzen et al. 2011; Rogelj et al. 2011; Van Vliet et al. 2012).”
Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects (2018, background): “…rise not to exceed a certain warming threshold (Rogelj et al 2016), as conventionally done in the literature (Rogelj et al 2015a, Luderer et al 2013, Rogelj et al 2011, Clarke et al 2014): ∙ 1.5 ◦C scenarios: Scenarios with a probability greater than 50% of reverting warming below 1.5 ◦C by 2100.”
Origins of differences in climate sensitivity, forcing and feedback in climate models (2013, methodology): “For example, Rogelj et al. (2011) use the MAGIC6 model to explore emission pathways consistent with a 2 K global temperature increase, an exercise which would be prohibitively expensive with full GCMs.”
Geoengineering impact of open ocean dissolution of olivine on atmospheric CO2, surface ocean pH and marine biology (2013, background): “Over the coming century, most IPCC emission scenarios (Joshi et al 2011, Rogelj et al 2011) will lead to a global warming larger than 2 K, the limit that was set by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Copenhagen in 2009 (UNFCCC 2009).”
Investigating afforestation and bioenergy CCS as climate change mitigation strategies (2014, background): “For ambitious climate change mitigation, huge reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are needed (Meinshausen et al 2009, Rogelj et al 2011, 2013a).”
Greedy or needy? Land use and climate impacts of food in 2050 under different livestock futures (2017, background): “Emission pathways compatible with the 2 °C temperature target allow for total global emissions of 21 Gt of CO2e in 2050 (Rogelj et al., 2011) from all sectors (energy, transport, waste handling, forestry etc.).”
The meat of the global food crisis (2013, background): “…are surpassing upper-end projections from recent climate models, which in turn involve strong positive feedbacks and the danger that non-linear changes will be initiated and the process of change could take on an irreversible momentum (Flannery 2009, Rogelj et al. 2011, Joshi et al. 2011).”
Climate policies can help resolve energy security and air pollution challenges (2013, background): “Consistent with Rogelj et al. (2011), we find that reaching the 2 °C target with greater than 50 % probability (Stringent region) requires that emissions peak in 2020 at levels only marginally higher than today and then be reduced significantly in the decades that follow.”
The Emissions Gap Report 2012 (2012, methodology): “We include their impact on global temperature using the same approach as in previous emission gap reports (UNEP, 2010; Rogelj et al., 2011; UNEP, 2011).”
Reversibility in an Earth System model in response to CO2 concentration changes (2012, background): “Mitigation scenarios aiming to avoid potentially dangerous climate change are likely to require significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions within the next two decades (Mignone et al 2008, Rogelj et al 2011).”
What if negative emission technologies fail at scale? Implications of the Paris Agreement for big emitting nations (2018, background): “…with a >50% chance of avoiding 2°C, and ‘policy delay’ to 2020, ‘negative emissions’ through technologies such as bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) are assumed to play a critical role (Anderson, 2015; Gough & Vaughan, 2015; Rogelj et al., 2011; UNEP, 2014; van Vuuren et al., 2011).”