Reckoning with Risk : Learning to Live with Uncertainty

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The null ritual : What you always wanted to know about significance testing but were afraid to ask (2004, background): “In the simple case of two hypotheses, H 1 and H 2 , which are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, Bayes' rule is the following: For instance, consider HIV screening for people who are in no known risk group (Gigerenzer, 2002).”
Because Hitler did it! Quantitative tests of Bayesian argumentation using ad hominem (2012, methodology): “We chose to elicit likelihood probabilities in frequentist form as we perceived it as the most intuitive format for participants in the contexts of these particular experiments (see, e.g., Gigerenzer, 2002).”
Applied decision making with fast-and-frugal heuristics (2016, background): “FAST-AND-FRUGAL ( r l P s c r B o v v G c w p m i n c e n o i e r f r 2 p fi u a w I p u i a c o a t i m u a m s a a F c T l p G t S t a P a a v a e t c m d L s t t r e t has purchased within a certain number of months (the hiatus): igure adapted from Goldstein and Gigerenzer (2002).”