P redicting the outcomes of National Football League games

By B. Boulier, Herman O. Stekler. 2003

132 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Economics and Econometrics, Gender Studies, Management Science and Operations Research

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/368d04b97e1fdffea35203676ed86e8cc508a75a

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Citations in the corpus

Issues in Sports Forecasting (2010, methodology): “…market, with a 72% success rate in selecting the winner, was more accurate than his statistical procedure, which was right 70% of the time.22 Boulier and Stekler (2003) used the power scores published in the New York Times and analyzed the forecast: the team with the higher power score…”
Fast and frugal forecasting (2009, background): “World rankings and expert seeding have been shown to be good predictors of sport outcomes (Boulier & Stekler, 1999, 2003).”
Forecasting sports tournaments by ratings of (prob)abilities: A comparison for the EURO 2008 (2010, background): “Due to the increasing popularity of online sports betting, bookmakers odds are a type of data that is abundant and easily available and that has been successfully employed in forecasts of single matches (e.g., Vlastakis et al., 2009; Spann and Skiera, 2009; Song et al., 2007; Forrest et al., 2005b; ”
Predicting Wimbledon 2005 tennis results by mere player name recognition (2007, unknown): “…city sizes (Goldstein & Gigerenzer, 2002), predicting stock performance in a bull market (Borges, Goldstein, Ortmann, & Gigerenzer, 1999; but see Boyd, 2001, for a bear market), predicting record sales of pop stars (Herzog, 2005), the quality of American colleges (Hertwig & Todd, 2003), and the…”
How often does the best team win? A unified approach to understanding randomness in North American sport (2017, background): “This includes contrasting league-level characteristics in economics [Leeds and Von Allmen (2004)], estimating game-level probabilities in statistics [Glickman and Stern (1998)] and classifying future game winners in forecasting [Boulier and Stekler (2003)].”