Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050

By M. Bakkenes, J. Alkemade, F. Ihle, R. Leemans, J. Latour. 2002

660 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Nature and Landscape Conservation, Plant Science

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/2e599e15427d611f3235fb76384fe52dff0bf67a

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In Ecological Modeling

In Nature and Landscape Conservation

In Plant Science

Citations in the corpus

Assessing the vulnerability of European butterflies to climate change using multiple criteria (2010, methodology): “…vulnerability to climate change have hitherto focused on projected range size changes, based on two assumptions of species ability to migrate into new areas, i.e. full dispersal or no dispersal (e.g. Bakkenes et al. 2002; Peterson et al. 2004; Lawler et al. 2006; Gómez-Mendoza and Arriaga 2007).”
Applications and limitations of museum data for conservation and ecology, with particular attention to species distribution models (2010, methodology): “Among the many studies that have used this approach, several have used museum records to fit the models (Iverson et al., 1999; Peterson et al., 2001; 2002; Bakkenes et al., 2002; Miles et al., 2004; Hole et al., 2009).”
Climate increases regional tree‐growth variability in Iberian pine forests (2007, background): “Some calculations pointed out Spain as one of the regions with the most dramatic future species losses (Bakkenes et al., 2002).”
Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptions (2006, background): “In the past decade, several papers have related climate to the distribution of species (Huntley et al., 1995; Sykes, 2001; Bakkenes et al., 2002; Peterson et al., 2002; Thuiller et al., 2005a), plant functional types (Box, 1996; Smith et al.”
Determinants of the biogeographical distribution of butterflies in boreal regions (2006, background): “…very few modelling studies have addressed climate–land-cover interactions, although it is recognized that ignoring habitat distribution and focusing only on climate response surfaces may result in erratic projections of species distributions in climate change studies (Bakkenes et al., 2002).”
Evolution of Ecological Niche Breadth (2017, background): “When the limits of the fundamental niche are surpassed (the lowest or the highest temperature tolerance), a shift or an expansion in the niche breadth may occur (Bakkenes et al. 2002).”
Forecasting plant migration rates: managing uncertainty for risk assessment (2003, background): “Forecasting future ranges has its own set of assumptions and uncertainties (Huntley et al . 1995; Rutherford et al . 1995; Schwartz et al . 2001; Bakkenes et al . 2002; Hannah et al . 2002), the discussion of which is beyond the scope of this paper.”
Soil Microbial Community Responses to Multiple Experimental Climate Change Drivers (2009, background): “As such, much of the ecosystem climate change research conducted to date has focused on macroscale responses to climatic change such as changes in plant growth (43, 44), plant community composition (2, 37), and coarse scale soil processes (14, 18, 21, 26), many of which may also indirectly interact ”
Can niche-based distribution models outperform spatial interpolation? (2007, background): “…in temporal scope: it is now used for predicting species occurrences 100 years into the future, with the goal of predicting the consequences of human-induced climate change (e.g. Iverson & Prasad, 1998; Bakkenes et al. , 2002; Skov & Svenning, 2004; Thomas et al. , 2004; Hijmans & Graham, 2006).”
Mediterranean island biodiversity and climate change: the last 10,000 years and the future (2016, methodology): “In Mediterranean islands, species’ distributions are limited geographically by the sea and not by the climate, hence, pure species-climate models should be treated carefully (Bakkenes et al. 2002).”
Climate Change and Biodiversity: Some Considerations in Forecasting Shifts in Species' Potential Distributions (2005, background): “For instance, several studies have projected future potential distributions of species for conservation purposes (Aspinall and Matthews 1994; Bakkenes et al. 2002; Beaumont and Hughes 2002; Burns et al. 2003; Dunbar 1998; Erasmus et al. 2002; Iverson and Prasad 2001; Meynecke 2004; Midgley et al.…”
Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions (2004, background): “Using restricted data analogous to not capturing the fun species’ environmental range, reduces strongly the combinations of environmental conditions under which the models are calibrated, and reduces the applicability of the models for predictive purposes.”