Forecasting plant migration rates: managing uncertainty for risk assessment

By Steven Higgins, James S. Clark, Ran Nathan, T. Hovestadt, Frank M. Schurr, J. Fragoso, M. Aguiar, E. Ribbens, S. Lavorel. 2003

221 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/ecc75d8dc84678b7e5fe4dad4b66a079dd060f01

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Citations in the corpus

Home away from home — objective mapping of high‐risk source areas for plant introductions (2007, background): “, 2005) and the dispersal ability of species (Higgins et al., 2003).”
Colonization and persistence ability explain the extent to which plant species fill their potential range (2007, background): “The maintenance of colonization ability may become even more important under future environmental change: if land transformation and climate change cause increased extinction of populations (Midgley et al., 2002, 2003; Latimer et al., 2004), the importance of colonization will increase relative to t”
The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land‐use and dispersal scenarios (2012, background): “…et al., 2002), the two extreme scenarios (null or full dispersal) that are generally considered – due to a lack of knowledge about true species-specific dispersal ability – are one of the critical drawbacks of most existing SDMs (Higgins et al., 2003; Pearson, 2006; Thuiller et al., 2008).”
Niche based distribution modelling of an invasive alien plant: effects of population status, propagule pressure and invasion history (2009, methodology): “Forecasting the spatial spread of invasive alien species (IAS, sensu Richardson et al. 2000; Pyšek and Richardson 2006) is considered an essential tool for their proactive management (e.g. Clark et al. 2001; Higgins et al. 2003).”
Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species (2010, background): “In practice, however, there are substantial problems of model formulation and parameterization (Higgins et al., 2003): a priori it is often not clear whether demographic phenomena such as Allee effects are relevant for the range dynamics of a given species, and for most species we lack the data…”
Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions: Opportunities and challenges (2009, background): “In the CFR and SWAFR habitat fragmentation can also affect the fecundity of species and opportunities for recruitment thereby further reducing species migration capacity (Donaldson et al. 2002; Hobbs & Yates 2003; Higgins et al. 2003c; Yates & Ladd 2005; Yates et al. 2007).”
Moving beyond static species distribution models in support of conservation biogeography (2010, background): “A dispersal kernel describes the distribution of offspring as a function of distance (and perhaps direction) from the parent (Higgins et al., 2003).”
Spatio-temporal dynamics of plant invasions: Linking pattern to process (2005, background): “…tail Plant dispersal has been addressed using a variety of theoretical approaches, including reaction-diffusion, integrodifference, random-walk, and simulation models, leading to a rich theory for estimating rates of spread (reviewed in Higgins & Richardson, 1996; With, 2002; Higgins et al., 2003).”
Mechanistic models of seed dispersal by wind (2011, background): “…change are typically viewed from the perspective of their spreading potential via seed dispersal (Higgins and Richardson 1999; Clark et al. 2001; Higgins et al. 2003a), pollen dispersal also plays an important role by affecting the ability of plants to adapt evolutionarily to changing…”