What does it take for an R&D tax incentive policy to be effective?

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Do the effects of R&D tax credits vary across industries? A meta-regression analysis (2015, background): “There exists a few other thorough overviews of this literature, and in particular Hall and Van Reenen (2000), Parsons and Phillips (2007), Mohnen and Lokshin (2009) and Cerulli (2012).”
How effective are level-based R&D tax credits? Evidence from the Netherlands (2012, background): “The results of our Monte Carlo experiments (see Mohnen and Lokshin, 2010 for details) suggest that spillovers have to be sizeable to compensate for the deadweight loss.”