Modeling Default Risk

By Peter J. Crosbie, Jeffrey R. Bohn. World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance, 2019

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Default risk is the uncertainty surrounding a firm's ability to service its debts and obligations. Prior to default, there is no way to discriminate unambiguously between firms that will default and those that won't. At best we can only make probabilistic assessments of the likelihood of default. As a result, firms generally pay a spread over the default-free rate of interest that is proportional to their default probability to compensate lenders for this uncertainty. AUTHORS Peter Crosbie Jeff Bohn 415-352-1279 jeff.bohn@mkmv.com CONTACTS Ahmet Kocagil 212-553-3889 ahmet.kocagil@mkmv.com © 2003 Moody’s KMV Company. All rights reserved. Credit Monitor®, EDFCalc®, Private Firm Model®, KMV®, CreditEdge, Portfolio Manager, Portfolio Preprocessor, GCorr, DealAnalyzer, CreditMark, the KMV logo, Moody's RiskCalc, Moody's Financial Analyst, Moody's Risk Advisor, LossCalc, Expected Default Frequency, and EDF are trademarks of MIS Quality Management Corp. Published by: Moody’s KMV Company To Learn More Please contact your Moody’s KMV client representative, visit us online at www.moodyskmv.com, contact Moody’s KMV via e-mail at info@mkmv.com, or call us at: NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA, NEW ZEALAND AND AUSTRALIA, CALL: 1 866 321 MKMV (6568) or 415 296 9669 EUROPE, THE MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA AND INDIA, CALL: 44 20 7778 7400 FROM ASIA CALL: 813 3218 1160

Subfields: Accounting, Economics and Econometrics, Finance

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/fe74ef4bb41b2b4fa4979993af7d9b7504c8f55b

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