How do people update? The effects of local weather fluctuations on beliefs about global warming

By T. Deryugina. Climatic Change, 2012

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Climate Change and Adaptation in Global Supply-Chain Networks (2019, methodology): “Further, consistent with models of Bayesian updating (Deryugina, 2013), our results show that the likelihood of supplier termination is increasing in signal strength and repetition, i.”
Public perception of climate risk and adaptation in the UK: A review of the literature (2014, background): “…of extreme weather and beliefs about climate change Studies conducted in the UK and elsewhere have shown that perceived (Li et al., 2011; Taylor et al., 2014) and experienced (Deryugina, 2013; Egan and Mullin, 2012) changes in local weather are associated with stronger climate change beliefs.”
Cognitive Biases in the Assimilation of Scientific Information on Global Warming and Genetically Modified Food (2015, background): “, Pautsch, Babcock, and Breidt, 1999), and understanding how individuals update beliefs about GW from fluctuations in local weather (Deryugina 2013), just to give a few examples.”