Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models

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Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches (2014, background): “6 leading to increased storm frequency (Villarini and Vecchi 2012, 2013; Dunstone et al. 2013).”
Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century (2013, background): “(15) applied a statistical downscaling scheme to 17 CMIP5 models and projected that North Atlantic tropical cyclone frequency will increase early in the 21st century, owing mostly to changes in radiative forcing arising from non-greenhouse gas causes.”
Extreme Precipitation Indices over China in CMIP5 Models. Part II: Probabilistic Projection (2016, background): “…of climate change in the future (Sillmann et al. 2013; Kharin et al. 2013; Thibeault and Seth 2014; Swain and Hayhoe 2015), because an MME can reduce the uncertainties and increase the reliability of prediction (Shongwe et al. 2009; Chang et al. 2012; Gao et al. 2012; Villarini and Vecchi 2012).”