Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches

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Seepage: Climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community (2015, background): “We focus on one suggestive case and argue that it has been to the public’s detriment because of the reinforcement and amplification of the prevailing tendency of scientists towards reticence and erring on the side of least drama.”
Challenges and Prospects in Ocean Circulation Models (2019, methodology): “, 2006) and was soon thereafter tested using ensembles initialized from observationbased reconstructions (Smith et al., 2007; Keenlyside et al., 2008; Pohlmann et al., 2009; Yeager et al., 2012; Meehl et al., 2014; Scaife et al., 2014).”
Predicted slowdown in the rate of Atlantic sea ice loss (2015, background): “Both components of predictability are important for decadal climate prediction [Meehl et al., 2009, 2014].”