The Effectiveness of Simple Decision Heuristics: Forecasting Commercial Success for Early-Stage Ventures

By Tom Åstebro, Samir Elhedhli. 2006

136 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Finance, Management Science and Operations Research, Ocean Engineering

How researchers see this paper

The researchers whose trusted networks rank it highest, strongest advocate first. Every researcher gets a different order.

In Finance

1. Hanna M. Wallach
2. Daniel G. Goldstein
3. Karim R. Lakhani

In Management Science and Operations Research

1. Hanna M. Wallach
2. Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
3. Sharad Goel
4. Daniel G. Goldstein
5. Karim R. Lakhani
6. Kevin J. Boudreau
7. Jongbin Jung
8. Ravi Shroff

Citations in the corpus

• Manipulating and Measuring Model Interpretability (2018, background): “Success of early-stage ventures 21 trinary features of companies Industry knowledge and experience, subjective assessments that lead to trinary scores, and 16 trinary features not used by the interpretable model [6]”
• Simple rules to guide expert classifications (2020, background): “…patients on the basis of their symptoms (McDonald, 1996), judges setting bail amounts (Dhami, 2003) or making parole decisions (Danziger et al., 2011) and managers determining which ventures will succeed ( Astebro and Elhedhli, 2006) or which customers to target (Wübben and Wangenheim, 2008).”
• Looking Across and Looking Beyond the Knowledge Frontier: Intellectual Distance, Novelty, and Resource Allocation in Science (2016, background): “project evaluation (e.g., Link and Long, 1981; Astebro and Elhedhli, 2006; Hallen, 2008; Stephan, 2012; Xie and Killewald, 2012; Jeter and Albar, 2013; Piezunka and Dahlander, 2014).”