Understanding Family Change and Variation: Toward a Theory of Conjunctural Action

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Uncertainty and Narratives of the Future: A Theoretical Framework for Contemporary Fertility (2020, background): “A major shortcoming in the application of the traditional fertility frameworks is connected to backwards reasoning (Johnson-Hanks et al. 2011): indicators and statistical models consider what already happened in life, without taking into account the sources of uncertainty of the expected future.”
Explaining fertility: The potential for integrative approaches (2015, background): “We have shown that demographers have already presented some promising attempts towards a more comprehensive model of fertility behavior and fertility trends, and have referred to the ambitious framework for “understanding family change and variation” by Jennifer Johnson-Hanks et al. (2011).”