Predicting phenology by integrating ecology, evolution and climate science

By S. Pau, E. Wolkovich, B. Cook, T. Jonathan Davies, Nathan J B Kraft, K. Bolmgren, J. Betancourt, E. Cleland. 2011

414 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecological Modeling, Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Nature and Landscape Conservation

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/d3c08962afa78b0629cfa5b7a541c91a77772f4a

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In Ecological Modeling

In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

In Nature and Landscape Conservation

Citations in the corpus

Herbarium specimens reveal increasing herbivory over the past century (2018, background): “Leafout and flowering occur earlier now than historically, and plants are moving upwards in elevation or polewards in latitude as the climate warms (Parmesan, 2007; Pau et al., 2011).”
Evolutionary Legacy Effects on Ecosystems: Biogeographic Origins, Plant Traits, and Implications for Management in the Era of Global Change (2016, background): “Pau et al. (2011) proposed a phylogenetic framework for predicting how the phenology of species will respond to climate change.”
Emerging opportunities and challenges in phenology: a review (2016, background): “Therefore, to fully understand phenology and its response to the changing climate, abiotic and biotic drivers should be differentiated and integrated into modeling efforts (Steltzer and Post 2009, Schwartz and Hanes 2010, Pau et al. 2011, Wolkovich et al. 2014).”
Geographic variation in vulnerability to climate warming in a tropical Caribbean lizard (2012, background): “It has been suggested that the negative effects of climate warmingmay bemitigated by shifts in phenology (e.g. Parmesan 2006; Bradshaw &Holzapfel 2008; Willis et al. 2008; Pau et al. 2011).”
Phylogenetic conservatism in plant phenology (2013, background): “Further, we find support for predictions that earlyseason species’ phenologies should be more sensitive to abiotic cues, for example, because costs of mistimed phenology may be higher (Pau et al. 2011) and therefore demonstrate greater variance in flowering times.”
Current issues in tropical phenology: a synthesis (2018, background): “For the future, multidisciplinary research teams and better integration between all plant science disciplines will be essential for the identification and measurement of key drivers of change and uptake of phenology data for conservation planning (Morellato et al. 2016, Pau et al. 2011).”
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species' Responses to Climate Change (2012, background): “F or p er so na l u se o nl y. growing season (Pau et al. 2011).”
Latitudinal gradients as natural laboratories to infer species' responses to temperature (2013, background): “Conversely to temperature, the interannual variability and seasonality in precipitation tends to decrease towards the pole in the Northern hemisphere (Pau et al. 2011).”