Cohort Reproductive Patterns in Low‐Fertility Countries

By T. Frejka, G. Calot. 2001

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The unfolding story of the second demographic transition. (2010, background): “Moreover, as was also true for a few Western countries like Austria and to some degree also of Germany (former FRG), cohort fertility patterns in Southern Europe hardly exhibited signs of fertility recuperation after age 30 (Lesthaeghe, 2001; Calot and Frejka, 2001).”
Bayesian Forecasting of Cohort Fertility (2014, background): “2009), but in most countries the cohorts of women whose lifetime fertility might be increasing are still young, and their final fertility levels depend on future rates (Frejka and Calot 2001).”
The End of the Fertility Transition in the Developed World (2002, unknown): “Trends in the CFR of successive cohorts have generally followed the downward trend in period fertility (Frejka and Calot 2001).”
New Cohort Fertility Forecasts for the Developed World: Rises, Falls, and Reversals (2013, background): “…the limited extrapolation markedly improves the forecast accuracy and reduces the underestimation of previous research which predicted lifetime fertility for the 1975 cohorts to be as low as 1.2-1.3 children per woman in several European countries (Frejka and Calot 2001; Frejka and Sardon 2004).”
The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s (2002, background): “We address this question first with reference to Italy and Spain, which have experienced TFR levels below 1.3 since 1993.”