Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

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Forecasting and uncertainty in the economic and business world (2009, background): “At the same time, we will continue to face rare and unique events that are completely unexpected, and even outside the realm of our imaginations — what Taleb (2007) has imaginatively labeled “Black Swans”.”
An Operational Measure of Riskiness (2009, unknown): “But occur it will! Interestingly, a similar point has been recently made by Taleb (2005): highly improbable events that carry a significant impact (called “black swans”) should not be ignored.”