Climate and socio-economic scenarios for global-scale climate change impacts assessments: characterising the SRES storylines

By N. Arnell, Matthew Livermore, S. Kovats, P. Levy, Robert J. Nicholls, Martin Parry, Stuart R. Gaffin. 2004

292 citations recorded by the source corpus.

Subfields: Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics, Global and Planetary Change, Management Science and Operations Research

View Paper: https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/bbef3076105af9c55b372f1e291b201ccb633ab7

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In Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

In Global and Planetary Change

In Management Science and Operations Research

Citations in the corpus

Scenarios of Future Urban Land Use in Europe (2006, unknown): “The extent of built-up areas increases significantly owing to an increase in the European population [fertility rates reaching 2.1 (Arnell et al, 2004; CIESIN, 2003)] and rising incomes.”
The role of uncertainty in climate change adaptation strategies—A Danish water management example (2013, background): “In addition, one has to take account of the uncertainty related to behavioural actions (ambiguity) on non-structural incentives (e.g. taxation), which constitute a major part of uncertainty in non-structural measures (Arnell et al. 2004).”
Economic impacts of climate change in Europe: sea-level rise (2012, background): “Under a B2 scenario including adaptation, the number of people flooded falls from the 2020s the 2080s as the exposed population is similar, having peaked in the 2050s and subsequently fallen (Arnell et al. 2004).”
Downscaling and geo-spatial gridding of socio-economic projections from the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) (2004, unknown): “Applications of this type of downscaled data are only in the early stages (e.g., Arnell et al., 2004; Parry et al., 2004).”
A multi-scale, multi-model approach for analyzing the future dynamics of European land use (2008, unknown): “…studies have been conducted to assess environmental impact at the global level, e.g. the climate change related studies of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2000; Arnell et al. 2004), the Global Environmental Outlook (UNEP 2002) and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA 2005).”
Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century (2010, unknown): “Here, yields could increase by as much as 30 per cent by the 2050s, dependent on crop (Alexandrov et al. 2002; Ewert et al. 2005; Richter & Semenov 2005; Audsley et al. 2006; Olesen et al. 2007).”
Global river hydrography and network routing: baseline data and new approaches to study the world's large river systems (2013, unknown): “…models include the estimation of water availability, water use, and/or water scarcity at global or regional scales (e.g. Vörösmarty et al., 2000b; Alcamo et al., 2003; Arnell et al., 2004; Oki and Kanae, 2006; Rost et al., 2008; Döll et al., 2009; Hanasaki et al., 2010; Siebert and Döll, 2010).”
Enhancing the relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability research (2014, background): “IAVanalyses (Arnell et al. 2004; Kriegler et al. 2012) because the storylines, assumptions, and model outputs were elaborated at different scales than those needed for most IAV studies.”
Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change (2010, unknown): “…et al., 2007; Barnett et al., 2005; Döll and Siebert, 2002; Spash, 2008a), impacts on crop productivity (Droogers, 2004; Droogers and Aerts, 2005), impacts on food supply (Arnell et al., 2004; Rosenzweig and Parry, 1994), and high costs of adaptation to climate change (Kandlikar and Risbey, 2000).”
An Introduction to Sustainable Development (2014, background): “…are likely to be critical for whom and where, for example, depends on future socioeconomic conditions – the ‘state of the world’ – and the IPCC is now working with different scenarios describing how population, economics and political structure may evolve over coming decades (Arnwell et al., 2004).”